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Major NATO exercise exposes Norway as a weak point

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Major NATO exercise exposes Norway as a weak point
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NATO is scheduled to hold its largest exercise in decades in February. One scenario puts Norway and Russia in the spotlight.

KIRKENES – 90,000 troops, thousands of tanks, and many fighter planes: NATO's defense alliance is rehearsing for an emergency during a large-scale „Steadfast Defender” exercise in February in order to deter Kremlin autocrat Vladimir Putin. Russia To determine.

According to media reports, the German army will participate with 12,000 soldiers, 3,000 vehicles and 30 aircraft. The focus of the German Armed Forces will be on the transfer of the 10th Panzer Division to Lithuania in the Baltic region. Meanwhile, other NATO associations are organizing loudly picture Possible defense of the Norwegian border in the far north of Scandinavia.

Major NATO exercises: The border between Norway and Russia comes into the spotlight

because: Norway It has a 197.7 km long land border with Russia and a 23.2 km long maritime border in the Varangerfjord in the Barents Sea. The fact that NATO is conducting massive exercises here gives the impression that the military alliance views Norway's far north-east as a potential weak point. There are several reasons for this: the strength of the Russian Northern Fleet, the reasonable size of the Norwegian Armed Forces, and geographical location.

Moscow Marines stand in front of a Russian warship near Murmansk. (Archive photo) © IMAGO/Lev Fedoseyev

This geographical location makes defending the country's borders a major challenge. The fjords, with their waters and hills, form natural barriers against would-be attackers. But defending these straits will be more difficult if the Barents Sea is not controlled. Here comes the great Northern Fleet Moscow in the game.

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Russian Northern Fleet: Moscow has large warships and several submarines in the Barents Sea

It has seven bases between the Bolshaya Lopatka naval base in the Zapadnaya Lisa Strait and the city of Murmansk, including the main base in Severomorsk. Lopatka is only about 55 kilometers from the Norwegian border. There are currently only estimates about the size of the Northern Fleet. Russia's only aircraft carrier, Admiral Flota Sovetskogo Soyuzha Kuznetsov, is currently in dry dock in Murmansk for repairs.

The large missile cruiser „Admiral Nakhimov” and the missile cruiser „Marshal Ustinov” are also part of the Northern Fleet. Like the „Moskva” sunk by the Ukrainians in April 2022, the latest warship belongs to the Project 1164 class. The two missile destroyers „Admiral Chabanenko” and „Admiral Ushakov” as well as three slightly smaller but modern frigates „Admiral Chabanenko” and „Admiral Ushakov” The ship class completes a strong Project 22350 engagement. And last but not least, a group of nuclear submarines of Project 22350 are located at bases and shipyards on the Kola Peninsula.

Norwegian-Russian border: The Norwegian armed forces are relatively small

Two very modern nuclear submarines of the Borei class (Project 955) also belong to the inventory of the Northern Fleet, namely “Yuri Dolgoruky” (commissioned in 2013) and “Knyaz Vladimir” (commissioned in 2020). It is also known to be located on a military base Murmansk has MiG-31 fighter jets stationed over the Barents Sea patrol.

Norwegian soldiers stand not far from Kirkenes on the border with Russia.
Norwegian soldiers stand not far from Kirkenes on the border with Russia. © imago/TT

And Norway, which has a population of about 5.5 million people? The Scandinavians have to secure their huge country with a relatively small army. On the water, the Norwegian Navy with its five modern Fridtjof Nansen-class frigates is likely to be inferior. The country is currently purchasing 34 F-35 stealth fighters from the USA for the Royal Norwegian Air Force.

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Norwegian Armed Forces: F-35 fighter jets are stationed in the center of the country

However, they are stationed at the main base, Orland Military Airport, in the center of the country. In the Air Force Exercise Arctic Challenge (ACE), the Norwegians train to defend Scandinavia in the air every two years with the Swedish and Finnish air forces. Perhaps Norway's real weakness is its army. According to the Global Firepower Index (GFP) Of the 36 Leopard 2A4NO main battle tanks, only 29 are currently operational (as of January 22). According to the German army's understanding, this would not be enough even for a closed battalion (46 tanks). The question remains whether the Norwegians will throw all their few battle tanks to the northeastern border in the event of an emergency.

The Northern Brigade near Bardufoss is at least the only Norwegian Army brigade. Like from one Army video on YouTube As can be seen, it probably has the majority of main battle tanks and approximately 110 CV 90 infantry fighting vehicles. A brigade usually consists of 4,500 to 5,000 soldiers. In total, the ground forces should include only about 7,800 soldiers. Characteristic: loud Forsafarit websiteas the Norwegian Armed Forces are called in the local language, the army is stationed almost entirely near the Norwegian-Russian border.

Norwegian Army: The Northern Brigade is supposed to secure the border with Russia

The Northern Brigade thus comprises an independent mechanized brigade with brigade command, two mechanized combat battalions (tank battalion and Telemark battalion), a light tank combat battalion (2nd Battalion), an artillery battalion, an engineer battalion and a reconnaissance battalion. In addition, the Finnmark Land Command (Porsanger Battalion) is responsible for border protection. In February 2023, Oslo announced an order for 54 new Leopard 2 A8 NOR main battle tanks. However, this equipment is still under construction at the German arms company Krauss-Maffei Wegmann in the Bavarian capital, Munich.

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as picture It was reported that the British are providing an aircraft carrier for the upcoming major NATO exercises. The close military connection between the Royal Navy and the Norwegians since World War II, as well as the proximity to Scotland across the North Sea, suggests that this aircraft carrier is intended to train for the potential defense of Norway. Because if the Russians succeeded in advancing across the Norwegian border in an emergency, they could also place their forces in positions behind Sweden and Finland. At least that's the theory surrounding it Ukraine war. (evening)

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Poland warns of war in Ukraine – Russia may launch an attack on a NATO member state

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Poland warns of war in Ukraine – Russia may launch an attack on a NATO member state
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The head of Polish intelligence warns: Russia is preparing military operations against the eastern flank of NATO. Putin denies the attack plans.

WARSAW – Fears are growing of a Russian attack on NATO’s eastern flank. After the Baltic countries sounded the alarm for some time and feared for their security, Poland is now also drawing up the terrifying scenario of a Russian attack on NATO territory. Although a significant portion of the Russian armed forces usually stationed on NATO’s borders have currently been transferred to Ukraine, Russia intends to renew its army in order to… NATOThreatening borders while maintaining and expanding covert and hybrid operations.

Vladimir Putin Jaroslaw Strusek, head of Poland’s military counterintelligence service, told the Polish daily that troops were already preparing for a small operation against one of the Baltic states. Gazeta Pravna. He added that the Russian president is ready „to invade the famous border town of Narva on the Estonian-Russian border or to land on one of the Swedish islands.”

Putin: The attack on NATO territory is „complete nonsense”

Last March, Putin said… BBC Aggression on NATO territory was excluded. He added that the idea that his country, which has one of the largest nuclear arsenals in the world, Poland, would attack the Baltic states, all of which, unlike Ukraine, are members of NATO, is “complete nonsense.” But he warned that if Ukraine deployed Western F-16 fighter jets from airfields in other countries, they would become „legitimate targets wherever they are.”

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NATO countries are currently scrambling to restore full defense capability after the Western military alliance looked back on a decade-long phase of low-intensity conflict. Kiev’s Western partners could not keep up with the demands of a modern all-out war, especially due to the lack of sufficient artillery and air defense resources.

The largest NATO exercise since the Cold War on the sidelines of the Ukrainian war

NATO is said to have agreed potential „red lines” in dealing with Russia’s war against Ukraine. (Avatar) © Sebastian Kahnert/DPA

Strusek believes that the Kremlin’s imperial goals have already slowed somewhat. “What the West is doing together to support Ukraine shows that in the event of an attack on NATO, the Western reaction will be greater,” the intelligence chief said. The German federal government is also currently trying to send strong signals about the defense capacity of NATO and Europe.

“In an emergency, Germany will defend every centimeter of NATO territory,” Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD) said during a visit to Lithuania on Monday, May 6, as reported by Das newspaper. RND. The German Army participated in the largest NATO exercise since the end of the Cold War: Steadfast Defender. Germany wants to establish a brigade in Lithuania outside its territory for the first time by 2027. “An attack on you would be an attack on all of us,” Schulz told his fellow Lithuanians.

“War has returned to Europe” – SPD committed to a strong NATO

Defense Minister Boris Pistoros (SPD) also expressed his strong commitment to the Western Defense Alliance during his visit to the United States. “NATO is essential to our security and we do not take it for granted,” he said loudly. dpa. “We realize that times have changed again. War is back in Europe and the time for peace dividends is over. That’s why we’re doing our part. Germany will spend more money on defense this year than ever before in the history of the Bundeswehr.”

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He pointed out that the 2% goal set by NATO will be achieved, „and we cannot stop there.” Within NATO, a growing number of members are calling for increased investments. For example, British Foreign Secretary David Cameron is vocal about NATO countries France Press agency Increase military spending to 2.5% of GDP. At the next NATO summit in July, it should be clear that all allies will soon meet the 2% target, according to previously published excerpts of Cameron’s speech scheduled for Thursday, May 9, at the National Cyber ​​Security Center in London. He continues: „Then we have to quickly introduce 2.5% as a target.” (Lahema)

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War between Israel and Gaza: Army: A leading member of Hamas was killed

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War between Israel and Gaza: Army: A leading member of Hamas was killed

UN Secretary-General Guterres warns Israel against launching a ground attack in Rafah. Hamas publishes a video of the hostage. More information in the news blog.

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Khamenei’s advisor: Iran is open to talks with America

10:23 PM: Iran has shown itself open to direct talks with the United States, and appears ready to change its policy toward its arch enemy. The ISNA news agency quoted Kamal Sharasi, foreign policy advisor to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, as saying, “The Americans consider diplomacy the best option (…). We share the same opinion and are also ready to return to negotiations.”

According to Sharasi, Iran must also be prepared to resume nuclear negotiations that were suspended by the United States. “Then we can also talk about a nuclear-free zone (in the Middle East),” the senior advisor and former foreign minister said.

Biden Advisor Sullivan: We will not abandon Israel

9:21 pm: The US government has assured Israel that it will stand behind its ally despite withholding the ammunition shipment. Biden’s security advisor, Jake Sullivan, said in an interview with ABC News that US President Joe Biden does not want to use American weapons in a major military operation in the city of Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip. He added, „This does not mean that he abandons Israel or deprives it of weapons.”

Blinken: The attack on Rafah will not destroy Hamas

7:28 pm: According to US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, even a major Israeli attack on the city of Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip will not completely destroy the Palestinian Islamic extremist organization Hamas. Blinken told NBC on Sunday that Israel would likely inherit „an insurgency that includes many armed Hamas fighters” or leave a „vacuum” in the event of a withdrawal. Perhaps this void will be filled with “chaos” and “chaos” – and perhaps with enthusiasm.

Israel opens a new crossing into Gaza for humanitarian aid

6:35 pm: The Israeli army announced that it opened a new border crossing to bring humanitarian aid into the Gaza Strip in coordination with the United States. The army says that the „West Iris” crossing is located in the northern Gaza Strip. He added that this aims to increase the number of aid transfers to the Gaza Strip, especially to the northern region. On Sunday, dozens of trucks carrying flour from the port of Ashdod passed through the crossing.

Israel: A leading member of Hamas was killed

6:23 pm: The Israeli military announced that a leading member of the Hamas terror group was killed in an airstrike in Gaza on Friday. The man belonged to one of the Hamas combat forces and was one of the Hamas fighters responsible for guarding the kidnapped Israeli soldier Noa Marciano. Marciano was kidnapped in the Gaza Strip after the terrorist attack on October 7, and was later killed there. The Israeli army recovered the body of the 19-year-old in November and returned it to Israel.

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Hamas corrects the death toll figures back and forth

3:27 pm: The only figures for casualties in Gaza come from the Hamas-controlled health authority. There has been criticism of them for a long time. Now the authority itself is causing confusion. Here you can read more about it.

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Migrants from Senegal: “Nothing works in this country”

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Migrants from Senegal: “Nothing works in this country”

As of: May 12, 2024 at 2:31 p.m

The number of people from West Africa heading to Europe has increased significantly. Not only do they want to escape poverty, they also want to feel a lack of prospects.

Written by Kay Costner, Ard Rabat

Sheikh Ndaw, 24, just wants to leave. Although the young mechanic has a job, nothing can stop him in Senegal: “I have my job, I work every day, but nothing works.” “Nothing works in this country.” His declared goal is Europe. And he already knows how to get there: by boat. From the point of view of the young Senegalese man, there is no other way out: “The only option is to go there illegally. Because I cannot afford the legal way, the plane.”

This makes the young man a very typical case for his generation. At least this is what migration researcher Professor Ali Tandian of Gaston Berger University in Saint Louis in northern Senegal sees. It is naive to think that most people leave their country in search of work, says Tandiyan.

Poverty is by no means the only reason

It’s more complicated, and the reasons are more complex: „Research shows us that those who migrate are not as poor as you think,” Tandiyan explains. “They are people who work. But they work for others so that the profits do not come back to them. Or they are people who are forced to do multiple jobs.”

Tandiyan talks about the so-called “working poor.” Indeed, statistics indicate that the poorest of the poor in Africa do not have the strength or means to undertake the long, often life-threatening journey – let alone pay the smugglers.

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So it’s the people with the least limited resources who get going. The data also shows that the number of migrants leaving their homes within Africa is several times higher than the number heading to Europe in often small wooden fishing boats.

The number of immigrants is increasing rapidly

However, 13,000 people arrived in the Canary Islands via the so-called North Atlantic Route in the first three months of this year, five times the number of people the previous year. Many of them are from Senegal.

Most are driven by desperation — or by dreaming of a better future in their heads, says migration expert Tandiyan. “With all the illusions, the heroism of immigration and the glorification of travel for immigrants, people think it’s possible to find their way around once you’re gone.”

When Tandean talks about “delusions” and “glorification,” he is referring to a social media phenomenon that has been giving Europeans headaches for years: young immigrants and influencers in North Africa have repeatedly filmed themselves in TikTok photos and videos, smiling and smiling completely. On their perilous journeys in small boats across the Mediterranean.

They stood relaxed in front of their smartphone cameras and acted as if it was a harmless fun ride with a glorious future waiting beyond the horizon. And not about a flight that kills thousands every year.

Many films that appeared years ago have now been deleted. But this does not solve the problem. In West Africa too, these posts, often shared hundreds of thousands of times, may still haunt the minds of many young people.

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Will the new government change anything?

Regarding Senegal’s youth, aspirants took power at the beginning of April: “I often tell young people: the solution is not to ride boats.” Politician Ousmane Sonko addressed his young countrymen with these words in 2019. Sonko is well respected, especially among young Senegalese, and served as prime minister for a few weeks after his party colleague Diomai Fay won the presidential election in a landslide.

You now have the opportunity to make a difference. The main tasks they set for themselves are: job creation; Improving the conditions of rural residents and fishermen; Curb inflation.

„Immigration is not yet on our politicians’ agenda,” criticizes Tandiyan. Senegal’s newly elected government, celebrated by many young people, now has the opportunity to change that. The big question is whether she will.

Sheikh Ndaw, 24, doesn’t want to wait for an answer. He is ready to risk his life and leave Senegal by boat to Europe.

Kai Kostner, Rabat Land, Tagesschau, April 17, 2024, 8:01 p.m.

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