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A military economist sees a strategic defeat for Ukraine for Putin

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A military economist sees a strategic defeat for Ukraine for Putin
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A military economist believes that time is running out for Russian President Vladimir Putin in the Ukraine war. This is also why there are increasing calls for peace in the West.

COLOGNE – When we look at the war in Ukraine, people increasingly imagine that Vladimir Putin is just trying to buy time. Because the head of the Kremlin knows that Russia is significantly superior to its invaded neighbor.

That is why Germany's opponents of arms deliveries to Kiev often say that this will only prolong death and suffering indefinitely. The best that could happen to Ukraine is a negotiated peace that would also allow Moscow's ruler to save face.

Putin and the Ukrainian war: “Like Hitler, he must win in the short term”

Marcus MQ turns the tables. In the meeting with Cologne Rundschau The military economist confirms that the clock is actually ticking against Putin. The 71-year-old has long been personally determined to be a loser.

The Freiburg native compares World War II to another aggressive and inhumane dictator: Adolf Hitler. “Putin faces the same problem as Hitler,” says Cube. “He has to win in the short term, because in the long term he has no chance against the industrial potential of the West.” That is exactly why Putin is burning systems and people on a massive scale at the front.

Vladimir Putin has to endure this comparison often: Military economist Markus MQ also sees similarities between Adolf Hitler and the head of the Kremlin. © imago/montage

Military expert compares World War II: “Putin does it like Marshal Sokov”

Keough is convinced: “He wants to make a decision before the whole huge arms industry takes off in the entire Western world. About 80 years ago, something similar happened to the United States when Washington intervened to stop Hitler: “It took years to ramp it up.” The American defense industry. And it did not The maximum is reached only in 1945, at the end of the war.

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Putin also acted as the Soviet Union did at the time against Nazi Germany – even if those countries were initially fighting to liberate their territories. „What is Putin doing there?“The tsars did it, and then Marshal (Georgy) Zhukov in World War II,” recalls the lecturer at the Military Academy at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich. “If 30,000 people fall in a wave of attacks, it means ‘it doesn’t matter to him, in the end’ The survivors were able to regain their new positions.

A person sits on a destroyed Russian tank
It did not survive the Russian attack on Ukraine: there are several destroyed tanks sent by the Kremlin to the Kharkiv region. © imago

Present The Kremlin's tactic of relying on the massesIt also has consequences for Kiev: “If Russia continues like this, Ukraine will have to mobilize at some point, even if it is difficult for democracy.” A million men.” Their time has not yet come: “At the moment, it is cheaper for them to rely on wear and tear.”

Military economist Q sees new tactics: „The Kremlin's parrots are shouting loudly again”

But not least because of the $1 billion US aid package approved in the House of Representatives after months of stalemate, the sun is starting to shine brighter again for Kiev. Additionally, despite the shift to a war economy, Russia has shown its limits, as Cube asserts: “Russian warfare is getting worse and worse technologically.”

The soldiers will be sent „with old T62 tanks without a turret and some in golf carts.” The reserve of about 3,000 tanks has been exhausted, and satellite images show that pipes in artillery camps are missing and systems have been dismantled.

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“I would say that Russia can definitely continue the war in 2024 and 2025,” Cube estimates. “But they are increasingly facing a time problem.” One indication of this for him is that “the Kremlin’s parrots are starting to shout loudly again, with the usual slogans: Negotiate peace, and Ukraine cannot win.” And so on. The AfD in particular could feel directed here.

Putin before the end? Expert Cube is betting heavily on Russia's defeat in the Ukraine war

Putin has already realized that Russia will be inferior to Ukraine and its allies: “That is why he is trying to sabotage the Western logistical base by transforming countries politically and playing the German emotional keyboard so that the Germans feel afraid.”

But Cube is certain: “If the Western logistical base continues to grow, Russia will not only win the war, but also lose it. With all the ensuing consequences for the internal organization in Russia.”

Young men playing with a destroyed tank in a settlement
Left behind: Young men enjoy this Russian tank in the Ukrainian city of Mykolaiv. © imago

Cube points out that this may mean the end of Putin's power, but it may be a disservice to his main supporters. By ending the war. Russia will decline economically and will have to unite internally again. “But the rule of the Siloviki, the group currently leading Russia, will continue,” the author explains the way to avoid impending unrest in the country.

The end of the Ukrainian war: According to Cube, Russia's strategic defeat has been certain since the fall of 2023

Cube is certain that the Ukraine war could end any day. It is in Putin's hands. However, there is reason to doubt whether the Kremlin's seemingly all-powerful head is really prepared to go down in history as the biggest loser who sent countless people to their deaths and, on top of that, divided two former sister states for more than a year. A decade for his own purposes.

According to Cube, Russia strategically lost the Ukraine war in the fall of 2023: “By then it had become clear that the rate of production could not keep up with the rate of attrition.” He had already started the war in the fall of 2023, and it had to stop, as if he simply didn't want to accept that time was against him. (mg)

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Gaza War: Israeli generals train for intifada against Netanyahu

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Gaza War: Israeli generals train for intifada against Netanyahu

HIt doesn’t look good in war when a country’s defense minister gives his prime minister an ultimatum. “I call on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to make a decision,” Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Galant said in a press conference on Wednesday.

He added that Netanyahu must “announce that Israel will not take civilian control of the Gaza Strip, that Israel will not establish a military government in the Gaza Strip, and that an alternative administration to the Hamas administration in the Gaza Strip will be formed immediately.” Gallant, Netanyahu belongs to the Likud Party.

Galant said that „the day after Hamas” can only be achieved if Palestinian bodies take control of Gaza, accompanied by international actors, in reference to the Palestinian Authority and moderate Arab countries.

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According to the Minister of Defense, he has been urging the Prime Minister for months to present a scenario for the period after the military operation in Gaza. But because of his hesitation, Israel’s military successes are once again at stake: „Hesitation in making a decision ultimately means making a decision.”

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Six months after the mass killing of Israelis by the Hamas terrorist militia and the start of the subsequent Israeli military operation in the Gaza Strip, the tone between the country’s military leadership and Netanyahu’s government has become noticeably harsher. Gallant’s ultimatum was the strongest expression yet of growing opposition among the generals to the lack of leadership in the Jewish state’s political leadership.

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Northern Gaza Strip is out of control

Last weekend, the military leadership had already played a grudge against Netanyahu to the media — with the same tenor: If the prime minister does not soon present a plausible scenario for Israel’s war goals, what Israel has achieved so far risks being destroyed. Lost.

Evidence of the officers’ fears can be found in daily reports from the front. Although Israel announced months ago that it had militarily taken control of the northern Gaza Strip, new clashes with Hamas are still erupting there.

Is it perhaps because a reporter asked military spokesman Daniel Hagari earlier this week that Israel has not created a post-war order in the north? Hajari responded: There is no doubt that the presence of an alternative administration to the Hamas administration would increase the pressure on Hamas. But this is a question directed to the political leadership.”

DWO_AP_Gaza_170524

Source: OpenStreetMap; The world of infographics

In fact, the solution Gallant outlined in his press conference has been around since at least November of last year. At the time, American, Arab and European representatives, as well as members of Israeli security circles, told WELT AM SONNTAG that the Palestinian Authority would take over the administration of the Gaza Strip and an international protection force with the participation of Western-oriented forces. The Arab countries were in the process of preparation.

But Netanyahu still does not want to make any commitment. The Prime Minister continues to say what he does not want. Shortly after Gallant’s press conference, Netanyahu was released Video about SMS service. Netanyahu says, looking annoyed: “I am not ready to replace Fatehistan with Hamastan.”

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He refers to the secular Palestinian organization Fatah, the leading force in the Palestinian Authority, which lost power in Gaza to Hamas, but still bears responsibilities in the West Bank.

Israeli soldiers in Gaza in mid-May

Israeli soldiers in Gaza in mid-May

Source: Agence France-Presse

The body was established when Israel concluded the Oslo Peace Accords with Fatah leader Yasser Arafat in the early 1990s. Since then, she has been considered the legitimate representative of the Palestinians. “The Palestinian Authority supports terrorism, teaches terrorism, and finances terrorism,” Netanyahu responds to Gallant in the video, even though the Authority generally cooperates with Israel on security issues.

“The basic condition for handing over Gaza to another actor is the destruction of Hamas, without condition or condition.” This is how Netanyahu’s video ends after only 48 seconds, without the Prime Minister explaining who the „other perpetrator” is.

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Children play with toy guns in front of the house of a well-known militia leader in Nablus

The fact that Netanyahu avoided making a decision is down to his coalition partners. The majority of his government is very narrow and the Prime Minister relies on the parties of the settler movement and its leaders Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben Gvir.

But they are increasingly openly calling for Jewish settlement in the Gaza Strip and the alleged voluntary migration of Palestinians from there. Ben Gvir, who holds the position of Minister of Public Security, confirmed this on Wednesday evening. “Tell them: Go home, go to your countries! This is ours now and forever!”

But neither Israel’s allies nor the Israeli people, for whom opinion polls show a clear majority against the reoccupation of the Gaza Strip, support such a plan. The Israeli army had tried unsuccessfully to control the coastal strip for decades until its withdrawal in 2005. The army would not want to undertake such a bloody mission again.

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Putin visits Xi: Russia and China demand a buffer zone for nuclear powers

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Putin visits Xi: Russia and China demand a buffer zone for nuclear powers
outside Putin’s visit to Beijing

Russia and China demand a buffer zone for nuclear powers

“China is looking for partners among US adversaries.”

Putin has once again chosen Beijing for his first foreign trip during his new term. Xi Jinping supports the Russian president. “The Chinese buy a lot of raw materials from the Russians, and that should not be underestimated,” says Moscow correspondent Christoph Wanner.

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Vladimir Putin has once again chosen Beijing as his first foreign trip during his new term. Xi Jinping supports the Russian president. In a statement, Beijing and Moscow called for the establishment of some kind of sphere of influence for nuclear powers.

DrThis plan is likely to be aimed primarily at Ukraine’s accession to NATO: Russia and China spoke in a joint declaration in favor of creating a buffer zone for nuclear powers compared to other military alliances.

“Nuclear powers must maintain global strategic stability, respect the principle of equal and indivisible security, and not infringe on each other’s vital interests,” said the joint statement issued by Kremlin President Vladimir Putin and Chinese state and party leader Xi Jinping on Thursday. In particular, “the expansion of military alliances and coalitions and the creation of direct military bridgeheads on the borders of other nuclear powers” ​​should be avoided.

Russia also justified the war in Ukraine by NATO’s expansion eastward, and said it felt threatened. The buffer zone would in effect resemble a Russian sphere of influence, because Ukraine cannot become a member of NATO under this condition. Other former Soviet republics such as Georgia would also be affected by such a buffer zone.

Moscow and Beijing said on Wednesday that the political agreement was an option to resolve the conflict. “Both sides see that a political agreement is the right path to resolving the Ukrainian crisis,” Chinese state and party leader Xi Jinping said Thursday in Beijing during Russian President Putin’s state visit.

China and Russia object to US support for Taiwan

China, a nuclear power, also has a self-interest in securing its influence through a buffer zone. Beijing wants to reunite the island of Taiwan with the mainland, using military means if necessary. It also claims the Taiwan Strait, an international body of water, as its own.

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The two countries also accused the United States of transferring medium-range missiles to Europe and the Asia-Pacific region. “It is about the United States of America creating a global air defense system and deploying its elements in different parts of the world, in the Universe, as well as expanding the potential of high-precision non-nuclear weapons in Europe and the southern part of the Pacific Ocean,” the statement said.

Putin arrived in China on Thursday for a two-day visit. At the beginning of the talks on Thursday, Xi congratulated his „old friend” on his fifth term in office and expressed confidence that Russia’s development would make „great progress” under his leadership.

Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping at the celebration of the 75th anniversary of Sino-Russian relations

Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping at the celebration of the 75th anniversary of Sino-Russian relations

Source: AFP/Alexander Ryumin

Xi described the relations as conducive to peace. Sino-Russian relations have become stronger and have withstood “the test of the changing international landscape.” The two sides signed an agreement aimed at deepening the existing partnership between the two countries.

Putin, who began another term in office at the beginning of May, traveled with a delegation of senior politicians and business leaders. These include Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, new Defense Minister Andrei Belousov and Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina. Putin is also accompanied by the heads of some of Russia’s most important companies, such as Igor Sechin of the oil company Rosneft, German Gref of Sberbank, and industrialist Oleg Deripaska. Prime Minister Li Qiang was among the Chinese hosts.

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A man finds luxury clothes worth 64 thousand euros News

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A man finds luxury clothes worth 64 thousand euros  News

Wade Venture (37) staunte nicht schlecht, als er das Rolltor zu einer Lagerbox in Portland (US-Bundesstaat Oregon) öffnete und begann, in den Kisten zu stöbern, die sich dort türmten.

Der Amerikaner hatte die verlassene Einheit bei einer Versteigerung für umgerechnet etwas mehr als 370 Euro ergattert. Dann stellte sich heraus: Der Inhalt war 70 000 Dollar (mehr als 64 000 Euro) wert!

Der Kauf war ein „Blind-Kauf“

Venture hat Erfahrung mit solchen „Blind-Käufen“: Nach eigener Aussage hat er bereits zwischen 400 und 500 Lagerräume gekauft. Und er schlug auch bei diesem zu – ohne zu wissen, was ihn erwarten würde. Doch einen solchen Schatz hatte er noch nie gefunden. Unglaublich: Die Vorbesitzerin der Box hatte Designerkleidung ohne Ende hinterlassen – unbenutzt!

Hunderte Schuhe entdeckte Wade in dem Lagerraum

Foto: action press

Unter den Fundstücken: Schuhe von Luxus-Labels wie Gucci

Unter den Fundstücken: Schuhe von Luxus-Labels wie Gucci

Foto: action press

Es war unfassbares Glück

Venture gegenüber US-Medien fassungslos: „Es ist selten, dass man eine solche Einheit findet, oft findet man Haushaltsgegenstände oder Müll.“ In der Vergangenheit hatte er den minderwertigen Inhalt seiner „Fundgruben“ oft einfach für wohltätige Zwecke gespendet. Venture weiter: „Die Leute denken, ich mache das schon so lange, dass ich schon alles gesehen habe, aber so eine Einheit habe ich noch nie gefunden.“

Wade zeigt einen der Mäntel aus seiner Fundgrube

Wade zeigt einen der Mäntel aus seiner Fundgrube

Foto: action press

Auch reichlich Handtaschen hatte die Vorbesitzerin in dem Raum gelagert

Auch reichlich Handtaschen hatte die Vorbesitzerin in dem Raum gelagert

Foto: action press

Hunderte Paare nagelneuer Schuhe

Unter den Fundstücken in seiner neuesten Schnäppchen-Schatztruhe: Mehr als 400 Paar Schuhe (u.a. von der Luxus-Marke Gucci), Pelzmäntel und Accessoires im Wert von mehreren Tausend Dollar. Viele der Stücke trugen sogar noch die originalen Verkaufsetiketten.

Besitzerin hatte wohl Problem mit Shopping

Der glückliche Finder: „Normalerweise finde ich Dinge, die zu 30 Prozent neu und zu 70 Prozent gebraucht sind. Aber das hier war alles brandneu.“ Mittlerweile hat er damit angefangen, die Kleidungsstücke zu verkaufen. Allein für einen der Mäntel bekam er 1500 Dollar (rund 1400 Euro), berichtet Venture.

Eine Theorie über die Vorbesitzerin der Lagerbox hat er auch. Venture: „Es ist mehr als wahrscheinlich, dass sie ein Shopping-Problem hatte.“

Und weiter: „Man munkelt, dass sie das vielleicht vor ihrem Mann geheim halten musste.“

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