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A military economist sees a strategic defeat for Ukraine for Putin

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A military economist sees a strategic defeat for Ukraine for Putin
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A military economist believes that time is running out for Russian President Vladimir Putin in the Ukraine war. This is also why there are increasing calls for peace in the West.

COLOGNE – When we look at the war in Ukraine, people increasingly imagine that Vladimir Putin is just trying to buy time. Because the head of the Kremlin knows that Russia is significantly superior to its invaded neighbor.

That is why Germany's opponents of arms deliveries to Kiev often say that this will only prolong death and suffering indefinitely. The best that could happen to Ukraine is a negotiated peace that would also allow Moscow's ruler to save face.

Putin and the Ukrainian war: “Like Hitler, he must win in the short term”

Marcus MQ turns the tables. In the meeting with Cologne Rundschau The military economist confirms that the clock is actually ticking against Putin. The 71-year-old has long been personally determined to be a loser.

The Freiburg native compares World War II to another aggressive and inhumane dictator: Adolf Hitler. “Putin faces the same problem as Hitler,” says Cube. “He has to win in the short term, because in the long term he has no chance against the industrial potential of the West.” That is exactly why Putin is burning systems and people on a massive scale at the front.

Vladimir Putin has to endure this comparison often: Military economist Markus MQ also sees similarities between Adolf Hitler and the head of the Kremlin. © imago/montage

Military expert compares World War II: “Putin does it like Marshal Sokov”

Keough is convinced: “He wants to make a decision before the whole huge arms industry takes off in the entire Western world. About 80 years ago, something similar happened to the United States when Washington intervened to stop Hitler: “It took years to ramp it up.” The American defense industry. And it did not The maximum is reached only in 1945, at the end of the war.

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Putin also acted as the Soviet Union did at the time against Nazi Germany – even if those countries were initially fighting to liberate their territories. „What is Putin doing there?“The tsars did it, and then Marshal (Georgy) Zhukov in World War II,” recalls the lecturer at the Military Academy at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich. “If 30,000 people fall in a wave of attacks, it means ‘it doesn’t matter to him, in the end’ The survivors were able to regain their new positions.

A person sits on a destroyed Russian tank
It did not survive the Russian attack on Ukraine: there are several destroyed tanks sent by the Kremlin to the Kharkiv region. © imago

Present The Kremlin's tactic of relying on the massesIt also has consequences for Kiev: “If Russia continues like this, Ukraine will have to mobilize at some point, even if it is difficult for democracy.” A million men.” Their time has not yet come: “At the moment, it is cheaper for them to rely on wear and tear.”

Military economist Q sees new tactics: „The Kremlin's parrots are shouting loudly again”

But not least because of the $1 billion US aid package approved in the House of Representatives after months of stalemate, the sun is starting to shine brighter again for Kiev. Additionally, despite the shift to a war economy, Russia has shown its limits, as Cube asserts: “Russian warfare is getting worse and worse technologically.”

The soldiers will be sent „with old T62 tanks without a turret and some in golf carts.” The reserve of about 3,000 tanks has been exhausted, and satellite images show that pipes in artillery camps are missing and systems have been dismantled.

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“I would say that Russia can definitely continue the war in 2024 and 2025,” Cube estimates. “But they are increasingly facing a time problem.” One indication of this for him is that “the Kremlin’s parrots are starting to shout loudly again, with the usual slogans: Negotiate peace, and Ukraine cannot win.” And so on. The AfD in particular could feel directed here.

Putin before the end? Expert Cube is betting heavily on Russia's defeat in the Ukraine war

Putin has already realized that Russia will be inferior to Ukraine and its allies: “That is why he is trying to sabotage the Western logistical base by transforming countries politically and playing the German emotional keyboard so that the Germans feel afraid.”

But Cube is certain: “If the Western logistical base continues to grow, Russia will not only win the war, but also lose it. With all the ensuing consequences for the internal organization in Russia.”

Young men playing with a destroyed tank in a settlement
Left behind: Young men enjoy this Russian tank in the Ukrainian city of Mykolaiv. © imago

Cube points out that this may mean the end of Putin's power, but it may be a disservice to his main supporters. By ending the war. Russia will decline economically and will have to unite internally again. “But the rule of the Siloviki, the group currently leading Russia, will continue,” the author explains the way to avoid impending unrest in the country.

The end of the Ukrainian war: According to Cube, Russia's strategic defeat has been certain since the fall of 2023

Cube is certain that the Ukraine war could end any day. It is in Putin's hands. However, there is reason to doubt whether the Kremlin's seemingly all-powerful head is really prepared to go down in history as the biggest loser who sent countless people to their deaths and, on top of that, divided two former sister states for more than a year. A decade for his own purposes.

According to Cube, Russia strategically lost the Ukraine war in the fall of 2023: “By then it had become clear that the rate of production could not keep up with the rate of attrition.” He had already started the war in the fall of 2023, and it had to stop, as if he simply didn't want to accept that time was against him. (mg)

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Trump’s VP J.D. Vance complains about Germany: 'Green energy policy is ridiculous’

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Trump’s VP J.D. Vance complains about Germany: 'Green energy policy is ridiculous’
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Trump has chosen J.D. Vance as his running mate. The Ohio senator has a critical eye on Germany, especially its security and energy policies.

Updated as of July 18, 2024 at 6:40 AM: The transatlantic coordinator of the federal government has recommended that Europeans engage constructively with the new government if Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump wins the election. Michael Link (FDP) said on the sidelines of the Republican Party convention in Milwaukee that Europeans should not grumble or complain about Trump or his then-Vice-President-elect J.D. Vance. Instead, for example, one should make clear that the war in Ukraine also concerns US interests.

New vice presidential candidate J.D. Vance is not backing down on Habeck’s energy policy. © IMAGO (2) / Panama Photos / ZUMA Press Wire (compiled)

Trump’s VP Vance looks critically at Germany, praises another EU country

First report dated July 17, 2024: WASHINGTON, D.C. – James David Vance has become known as a chronicler of America’s underdeveloped white working class with his book Hillbilly Elegy . He has earned a reputation for understanding this social group to which he himself belongs, but to which he no longer belongs since his career as a venture capitalist in Silicon Valley. Yet with the support of Donald Trump, the political newcomer has been catapulted into the Ohio senator’s office. On domestic policy, Vance represents a more hawkish right-wing conservative position than Trump on issues like abortion. But what does he think of Germany?

Basically, Vance likes European countries with more sympathetic conservative governments; the more conservative the better. He has already praised Hungary in particular in the past. Viktor Orbán’s recent visit to Donald Trump highlighted the close ties between the Hungarian prime minister and Trump supporters. In the spirit of Orbán, Vance criticized the fact that Germany actually calls the shots in the EU, for example when it comes to cutting off financial resources to conservative-ruled EU countries that flout the rules.

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Vance criticizes Germany: It dominates the EU and spends too little on security

Aid money was withheld from Hungary because the country did not want to participate in support for Ukraine, and from Poland because of the conservative views of its previous government, Vance said in February in an interview with the Brussels-based newspaper. European Conservative. “This is not a rules-based order,” the Republican continued, “but a Europe that imposes liberal imperialist ideas from Brussels and Berlin on the rest of the continent.”

On the other hand, Vance demands that Germany take on international responsibility, especially in security policy. He essentially repeats Trump’s accusations that Germany does not provide enough resources for NATO since his first term as US president. Now that the Federal Republic has confirmed that it no longer wants to abandon the NATO spending target of 2%, Vance questions whether that is enough and fundamentally questions the defensive capabilities of the German armed forces.

France comparison: Trump’s VP questions Germany’s defense capabilities

So he threw Germany into an op-ed for Financial Times In February, for example, it said it had little to offer militarily, even though it spends far more on defence than France. “The French army has six highly efficient combined arms brigades, but Armed forces There he wrote with difficulty to gather a single fighting brigade.

Vance’s biography sparks discussion

JD Vance with him Hillbilly Elegy book (Promotional link)The book, published in German in 2018, has generated a wave of interest. In his autobiography, he describes the crisis of the white working class in the United States from a very personal perspective.

READ  Trump celebrates a major victory in the US Supreme Court

In March 2023, Vance particularly eye-catchingWhen he called Germany’s conduct in the Ukraine war “shameful” on X. It is “an insult to our voters that so many Republicans agree with this,” because all of Germany’s promises “have turned into nonsense.” It is unclear to him why “American taxpayers are subsidizing Germany’s foolish energy policy and weak defense policy.” At the time, he was taking aim at Germany’s long-standing dependence on Russian gas, which has now largely been eliminated.

Downsizing manufacturing, Vance says, “in the name of a ridiculous green energy policy.”

He resumed his criticism of German energy policy at the Munich Security Conference in February. “If Putin is to be defeated at all costs, then stop, my dear German friends, deindustrializing your country in the name of a ridiculous green energy policy.” Vance thus insists on increasing German defense efforts, specifically developing the arms industry, but he frames it as if Germany itself created the problem to which it was supposed to respond.

Trump or Biden? It will be interesting in the US election campaign

Stay informed with our free US Elections newsletter. Contributions from our popular partners, such as The Washington Post, provide you with the American perspective. Translated into German. Click here to subscribe to the US Elections Pact newsletter.

“You’re deindustrializing your country while at the same time saying that Putin must be defeated at all costs,” the senator said at the security conference. At the same time, he believes European fears about further Russian aggression in the future are overblown. In a conversation with CNN Last December, he called the idea that Putin might “march into Poland or Berlin” “ridiculous.” Instead, Vance also represents Trump’s line to resolve the Ukraine war as quickly as possible, including territorial concessions from the invaded country.

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The European shift to the right has so far been too weak for Vance.

In general, the deputy largely agrees with his boss on foreign policy. China He said shortly after his nomination Fox News “The biggest threat we face, and the one that we are completely distracted from right now.” This is consistent with the idea that U.S. security commitments to European partners like Germany and military support for Ukraine represent that distraction.

He believes that if the United States continues to support Ukraine in the way Europe wants, it will push Putin’s Russia closer to China. “I wonder why we are making it more likely that Vladimir Putin will ally with communist China when we should really be trying not to push any country into Beijing’s arms,” he said. European ConservativeIn general, one should focus “more on East Asia” and “less on Europe,” Vance continued.

Ahead of the European elections, Vance said: European ConservativeHe would like to see more „populist victories” there, and for European elites to give voters what they voted for. According to him, this means less immigration: in Great Britain the Conservatives promised this, and in Italy Giorgia Meloni, but then failed to deliver. And the Federal Republic is no exception: „The fact that the AfD is doing so well is due solely to the fact that resistance to mass immigration is growing in Germany,” said Trump’s deputy Vance. (Michael Kester)

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Barack Obama advises Joe Biden to 'seriously’ reconsider his candidacy

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Barack Obama advises Joe Biden to 'seriously’ reconsider his candidacy

Former US President Barack Obama has apparently expressed doubts to other Democrats in recent days about whether Joe Biden can win the US presidential election in November. Washington Post Obama reportedly said Biden should “seriously consider the merits of his candidacy.” Biden was vice president in the Obama administration from 2008 to 2016.

According to the newspaper, Obama is said to have spoken behind the scenes by phone with several interested Democrats who are also skeptical of Biden’s candidacy, including prominent politician Nancy Pelosi.

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Obama Worried About Biden’s Poll Numbers

Obama also expressed concern about Biden’s poll numbers in the debates. Things are looking increasingly worse for Biden, while Republican Donald Trump is increasingly winning voters. Obama is also clearly concerned about donors leaving the campaign.

Several Democrats in Congress have already withdrawn their support for Joe Biden. In an op-ed published last week in the New York Times, Hollywood actor George Clooney, who has been a major donor to Biden’s campaign, called on Biden to drop out of the race.

Pressure is mounting on the president. He reportedly met recently with Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries. Both warned Biden that his nomination would cast a shadow over Democrats’ chances in the November election.

The current US president, by contrast, remains stubborn: During a campaign appearance last week, Biden made it clear that he did not want to withdraw from running for office again. “We have to finish this job,” he told supporters in the small town of Northville, Michigan. “And I promise you, I’m fine.” (With AFP)

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Trump’s VP Vance on Germany: 'Green Energy Policy Is Ridiculous’

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Trump’s VP J.D. Vance complains about Germany: 'Green energy policy is ridiculous’
  1. Homepage
  2. Policy

He presses

Trump has chosen J.D. Vance as his running mate. The Ohio senator has a critical eye on Germany, especially its security and energy policies.

Updated as of July 18, 2024 at 6:40 AM: The transatlantic coordinator of the federal government has recommended that Europeans engage constructively with the new government if Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump wins the election. Michael Link (FDP) said on the sidelines of the Republican Party convention in Milwaukee that Europeans should not grumble or complain about Trump or his then-Vice-President-elect J.D. Vance. Instead, for example, one should make clear that the war in Ukraine also concerns US interests.

New vice presidential candidate J.D. Vance is not backing down on Habeck’s energy policy. © IMAGO (2) / Panama Photos / ZUMA Press Wire (compiled)

Trump’s VP Vance looks critically at Germany, praises another EU country

First report dated July 17, 2024: WASHINGTON, D.C. – James David Vance has become known as a chronicler of America’s underdeveloped white working class with his book Hillbilly Elegy . He has earned a reputation for understanding this social group to which he himself belongs, but to which he no longer belongs since his career as a venture capitalist in Silicon Valley. Yet with the support of Donald Trump, the political newcomer has been catapulted into the Ohio senator’s office. On domestic policy, Vance represents a more hawkish right-wing conservative position than Trump on issues like abortion. But what does he think of Germany?

Basically, Vance likes European countries with more sympathetic conservative governments; the more conservative the better. He has already praised Hungary in particular in the past. Viktor Orbán’s recent visit to Donald Trump highlighted the close ties between the Hungarian prime minister and Trump supporters. In the spirit of Orbán, Vance criticized the fact that Germany actually calls the shots in the EU, for example when it comes to cutting off financial resources to conservative-ruled EU countries that flout the rules.

READ  Trump celebrates a major victory in the US Supreme Court

Vance criticizes Germany: It dominates the EU and spends too little on security

Aid money was withheld from Hungary because the country did not want to participate in support for Ukraine, and from Poland because of the conservative views of its previous government, Vance said in February in an interview with the Brussels-based newspaper. European Conservative. “This is not a rules-based order,” the Republican continued, “but a Europe that imposes liberal imperialist ideas from Brussels and Berlin on the rest of the continent.”

On the other hand, Vance demands that Germany take on international responsibility, especially in security policy. He essentially repeats Trump’s accusations that Germany does not provide enough resources for NATO since his first term as US president. Now that the Federal Republic has confirmed that it no longer wants to abandon the NATO spending target of 2%, Vance questions whether that is enough and fundamentally questions the defensive capabilities of the German armed forces.

France comparison: Trump’s VP questions Germany’s defense capabilities

So he threw Germany into an op-ed for Financial Times In February, for example, it said it had little to offer militarily, even though it spends far more on defence than France. “The French army has six highly efficient combined arms brigades, but Armed forces There he wrote with difficulty to gather a single fighting brigade.

Vance’s biography sparks discussion

JD Vance with him Hillbilly Elegy book (Promotional link)The book, published in German in 2018, has generated a wave of interest. In his autobiography, he describes the crisis of the white working class in the United States from a very personal perspective.

READ  USA: grizzly bear tears student's face | newsletter

In March 2023, Vance particularly eye-catchingWhen he called Germany’s conduct in the Ukraine war “shameful” on X. It is “an insult to our voters that so many Republicans agree with this,” because all of Germany’s promises “have turned into nonsense.” It is unclear to him why “American taxpayers are subsidizing Germany’s foolish energy policy and weak defense policy.” At the time, he was taking aim at Germany’s long-standing dependence on Russian gas, which has now largely been eliminated.

Downsizing manufacturing, Vance says, “in the name of a ridiculous green energy policy.”

He resumed his criticism of German energy policy at the Munich Security Conference in February. “If Putin is to be defeated at all costs, then stop, my dear German friends, deindustrializing your country in the name of a ridiculous green energy policy.” Vance thus insists on increasing German defense efforts, specifically developing the arms industry, but he frames it as if Germany itself created the problem to which it was supposed to respond.

Trump or Biden? It will be interesting in the US election campaign

Stay informed with our free US Elections newsletter. Contributions from our popular partners, such as The Washington Post, provide you with the American perspective. Translated into German. Click here to subscribe to the US Elections Pact newsletter.

“You’re deindustrializing your country while at the same time saying that Putin must be defeated at all costs,” the senator said at the security conference. At the same time, he believes European fears about further Russian aggression in the future are overblown. In a conversation with CNN Last December, he called the idea that Putin might “march into Poland or Berlin” “ridiculous.” Instead, Vance also represents Trump’s line to resolve the Ukraine war as quickly as possible, including territorial concessions from the invaded country.

READ  Elections in Great Britain: Poll finds the UK Reform Party ahead of the Conservative Party for the first time

The European shift to the right has so far been too weak for Vance.

In general, the deputy largely agrees with his boss on foreign policy. China He said shortly after his nomination Fox News “The biggest threat we face, and the one that we are completely distracted from right now.” This is consistent with the idea that U.S. security commitments to European partners like Germany and military support for Ukraine represent that distraction.

He believes that if the United States continues to support Ukraine in the way Europe wants, it will push Putin’s Russia closer to China. “I wonder why we are making it more likely that Vladimir Putin will ally with communist China when we should really be trying not to push any country into Beijing’s arms,” he said. European ConservativeIn general, one should focus “more on East Asia” and “less on Europe,” Vance continued.

Ahead of the European elections, Vance said: European ConservativeHe would like to see more „populist victories” there, and for European elites to give voters what they voted for. According to him, this means less immigration: in Great Britain the Conservatives promised this, and in Italy Giorgia Meloni, but then failed to deliver. And the Federal Republic is no exception: „The fact that the AfD is doing so well is due solely to the fact that resistance to mass immigration is growing in Germany,” said Trump’s deputy Vance. (Michael Kester)

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