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Latest polls before the 2024 UK election
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The Conservatives, led by Prime Minister Sunak, face a serious defeat in the 2024 British elections. The latest opinion polls are devastating.
Updated from July 4, 5:51 p.m.: Opinion polls suggest that the right-wing populist Reform Party is on the rise in the UK general election. Nigel Farage’s party has changed the British election campaign once again – and the gains made by Reform in the UK would further damage the Conservative Party’s bleak prospects. But support for Reform is too evenly distributed, and the party’s organization is too weak for Farage to win many seats outright.
Like the British guardian Opinion polls are reported to show that while the Reform Party in the UK will not win many seats, it will win at least some. Opinion polls suggest that Nigel Farage will finally win a seat in the House of Commons at his eighth attempt.
Labour on brink of landslide victory in UK election
Updated July 4, 3:07 p.m.: If the latest UK election polls are correct, Labour could win its biggest majority since 1832 and hand the Conservatives a heavy defeat. Voting is now underway in Great Britain for a few more hours, but in Britain times It is already assumed that many Conservative MPs could lose their parliamentary seats. Even in the most optimistic UK election polls, Rishi Sunak’s party could end up with at least 200 fewer seats than the 365 it won in 2019.
Latest opinion polls paint a clear picture of the UK election: Forecasts expected as of 11pm
Updated from July 4, 1:51 p.m.: The elections are currently underway in Great Britain. Many politicians have already cast their votes. Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer are among others. The current elections in Great Britain could be a major disaster for the Conservative Party: recent opinion polls predict a clear victory for the Labour Party. The first forecasts of the election results in Great Britain are expected late in the evening. Voters still have until 11 pm to cast their ballots.
Elections in Great Britain underway: the result could lead to a bitter defeat for the Conservative Party
Update from July 4, 7:20 AM: Labour is poised to win a resounding victory in the 2024 UK election. According to all the polls, the Social Democrats could surpass the landslide victory they achieved in 1997 under then-party leader Tony Blair. So what might the final result look like? The forecasts make it clear:
| exhaustion | 429 (324 to 516) |
| Conservatives | 110 (29 to 209) |
| Liberal Democrats | 50 (17 to 92) |
| Scottish National Party | 20 (0 to 54) |
| UK Reform | 3 (0 to 104) |
| last | 5 (0 to 5) |
(source: The EconomistAs of July 4)
According to opinion polls and forecasts, the Labour Party is the most likely candidate in the British elections in 2024.
LONDON – The Conservative Party has been in power in the United Kingdom for fourteen years. But that will soon come to an end. A Conservative victory in the 2024 British general election on July 4 is considered all but impossible. And recent opinion polls have been devastating for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s party.
This time, there may be no way to avoid a Labour victory in the House of Commons. Basically, one question remains unanswered: how much can the Social Democrats win? Or, to put it another way: how bad are things for the Conservatives? In any case, the latest opinion polls before the election in Great Britain do not allow for any other conclusion: the Conservatives are in danger of falling into insignificance.
Great Britain Election 2024: Latest Polls Show Clear Trend
But why him? Labour leader Keir Starmer is not a strong opponent; many people in the UK know little about the sober human rights lawyer or the aims of the Social Democrats. No, the Tories themselves are to blame. The final verdict was that “the Tories have lost the right to govern.” Sunday times.and commercial paper Financial Times „Britain needs a fresh start,” he commented.
This will likely happen. Look at the numbers from recent polls by Great Britain Elections The Conservatives appear likely to face a real collapse. This is also due to competition from the UK’s Reform Party: party leader Nigel Farage, who played a key role in pushing for Brexit, has significantly increased pressure on Sunak from the right with his anti-immigration rhetoric and criticism of the Conservatives.
| exhaustion | 39.1 |
| Conservatives | 21.1 |
| UK Reform | 16.6 |
| Liberal Democrats | 10.8 |
| Green party | 6.5 |
| Scottish National Party | 2.9 |
(source: Sky News(weighted average of surveys as of July 4)
Seat distribution projections based on the latest opinion polls for the 2024 UK general election
We should also bear in mind that in Great Britain, MPs are elected using majority voting – unlike in Germany, where personal proportional representation is used. For the Conservative Party, the predictions for the distribution of seats in the House of Commons based on the latest opinion polls are much worse than pure percentage values.
Many forecasts suggest the Conservatives will win around 100 seats. Sunak could also make history: according to the latest polls, he could become the first sitting prime minister in history to be voted out of office in his own constituency. The UK’s Reform Party, which is expected to win only a handful of seats in the House of Commons, is struggling with voting rights.
Latest polls and forecasts point to a clear outcome in the 2024 UK election
The House of Commons in London has 650 seats. These are distributed among MPs from the four parts of the United Kingdom. Each MP represents one constituency: 543 in England, 57 in Scotland, 32 in Wales and 18 in Northern Ireland.
The last general election in Great Britain was held in December 2019. The Conservative Party, led by former party leader Boris Johnson, clearly exceeded the absolute majority of 326 seats in the election, winning 365 seats. The Labour Party won 202 seats at the time. The Scottish National Party won 48 seats, while the Liberal Democrats won eleven seats. (CS / AFP / AFP)
„Praktyk żywieniowy. Guru bekonu. Irytująco pokorny entuzjasta zombie. Uczeń totalny”.
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Russia has recently increased the pace of its attacks around Pokrovsk. But Ukraine always manages to repel the enemy. Effective military equipment plays a role in this.
KYIV/MOSCOW – Since May, Vladimir Putin has wanted to make further advances in the area around Kharkiv with a new major offensive. Now, almost two months later, Putin’s offensive on Kharkiv has not been very successful. This is evident, on the one hand, from the relatively high Russian losses in Kharkiv, and on the other hand, from the resilience of the Ukrainian Armed Forces at the front. Nico Lang, a military analyst at the Munich Security Conference, summarized the following: ZDF This is one of the reasons why recently: „The attack has already failed.”
Events on the front are currently focused on fighting not far from the city of Pokrovsk, about 70 kilometers west of the city of Donetsk. in occupied by Russia The region of the same name. Russia has intensified its attacks there in recent days and has tried to break through Ukrainian defense lines. Putin’s forces around Pokrovsk are now mainly using infantry attacks supported by drones, Ukrainian soldiers from the 47th Mechanized Brigade said. But Ukraine appears to have found an effective remedy against the growing number of Russian attacks in the Donetsk region.
Ukraine forces Russian victims to the front: Vampire rocket launcher helps in resistance
Spokesperson for the Brigade Anastasia Pleschik He said German News Agency The German news agency dpa reported on Ukrainian television that there are currently no Russian armored vehicles to be seen around Prokhovsk because the Russians have run out of them. The heavy Russian material losses can be seen, for example, in the images taken by reconnaissance drones. But how did Ukraine manage to repel enemy attacks so successfully, despite the superiority of Russian forces?
The decisive factor in the resilience of the Ukrainian Armed Forces appears to be the weapon of enormous destructive power that Ukraine uses on the front: the RM-70 Vampire multiple rocket launcher. It has 40 silos and can fire up to 40 122mm fragmentation rockets per minute.
The Vampire has a firing range of 20 kilometers and the launcher can be reloaded in about two minutes. An unknown number of Vampire launchers were supplied to Ukrainian forces in early 2023. Through the Czech Republic.
Ukrainian artillery commander: “They will pay in blood for every meter of Ukrainian territory”
In order to circumvent the effective strikes of the Ukrainian Armed Forces using the Vampire multiple rocket launcher, Russian troops are currently trying to attack several different fronts on the Donetsk front in order to expand the front. The seriousness of the fighting around Pokrovsk is also evident from the statements of the participating soldiers.
Reverse TV N “They (Russian troops, editor’s note) will pay with blood for every meter of Ukrainian territory. It may be a small amount of blood or a large amount of blood, but they will have to pay the price,” an artillery commander explained, stressing that “one will not give up one’s land for nothing.”
Every advance by Putin’s armed forces in Ukraine will cost Russia new losses. In addition to the heavy material losses that Putin has recently suffered in Donetsk, the number of soldiers killed or wounded also appears to be high at the moment. How TV N Ukrainian artillerymen firing rockets in the Donetsk region are reportedly, by their own estimates, managing to injure or even kill between 50 and 150 Russian soldiers a day. However, this information cannot be independently verified.
Russia has recently increased its attacks in the Donetsk region, forcing the Ukrainians to move quickly.
To defend the front line, the Ukrainian armed forces not only have to be particularly careful in the currently contested areas around Pokrovsk, but they also have to be fast. And since Russian forces there have recently increased the number of their attacks – mainly using drones – the Ukrainians can no longer stay in one place for long.
“We work quickly because we want to live. It is a necessity for life,” said a Ukrainian rocket launcher pilot. N TV Because once the Ukrainians were spotted by enemy drones while operating the Vampire rocket launcher, they were at great risk. “The boys fired all their ammunition when they were spotted by an enemy drone,” the commander of the rocket launcher opposite added. TV N He added. (And)
„Praktyk żywieniowy. Guru bekonu. Irytująco pokorny entuzjasta zombie. Uczeń totalny”.
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Ukraine is intensifying its attacks on Russian-occupied Crimea, where tourists continue their vacations. Now Russia wants to better secure the beaches.
SEVASTOPOL – After several Ukrainian ATACMS attacks on the Russian-occupied peninsula Crimea The military is trying to better protect the coast from possible attacks by the Ukrainian army. Members of the pro-Ukrainian Atysh partisan group talk about the efforts of the Russian military to strengthen the defense lines in Crimea.
“While the occupation authorities are trying to convince the population that there is no threat of a Ukrainian army landing, the number of defensive positions along the coast is growing day by day,” the group said in a statement. The movement also claims that Russia is entrusting local civilian companies in Yevpatoria and Yalta with expanding firing and defensive positions.
Heavy losses for Putin’s Black Sea fleet: withdrawal to Russian ports
There are rumors that the Ukrainian military is planning an attack on Crimea in the fall. Ukrainian Pravda It was mentioned. At the beginning of the Ukraine war, Russia also deployed its Black Sea Fleet to the peninsula. However, after heavy losses, Vladimir Putin’s fleet was forced to retreat there. Most of the ships were transferred to Russian ports east of Crimea, such as Novorossiysk.
But here too The ships were repeatedly attacked by the Ukrainian military. To the victim. The problem for the Russians: there is not enough space in the Novorossiysk port for the ships of the Black Sea Fleet. The port in Sevastopol in Crimea is much larger, Ukrainian Vice Admiral Oleksiy Nezbaba said in an interview with Reuters The missiles were also stored from warships and loaded into the largest port city in Crimea.
“The enemy has withdrawn almost all important combat-capable ships from the main base of the Black Sea Fleet, the ships are being transferred to Novorossiysk and some to the Sea of Azov,” the vice admiral said. Reuters He says. In total, Ukraine has damaged and destroyed 27 naval vessels, with at least five of them disabled by Ukrainian Navy drones directly in the port of Sevastopol.
Crimea as a holiday destination in Russia – even during the Ukraine war
Perhaps surprisingly, despite the war in Ukraine, Crimea has been and remains a popular holiday destination for many Russians. The quiet beaches directly on the Black Sea and the beautiful weather have attracted many vacationers to the territory that Russia annexed in violation of international law in 2014. But Ukraine’s increasing attacks on military targets with American ATACMS missiles are scaring off more and more vacationers.
Russian Travel Industry Association, such as Newsweek It has seen a 25-30 percent drop in bookings since Ukrainian air defenses intercepted Ukrainian missiles in Crimea on June 23. Much of the missile debris fell on holiday beaches in the Sevastopol region — and some people died. The Russians’ increased defensive positions are likely to dampen the holiday spirit on Crimean beaches. (sir)
„Praktyk żywieniowy. Guru bekonu. Irytująco pokorny entuzjasta zombie. Uczeń totalny”.
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Discussions about Biden’s health continue, but he declines to take cognitive testing. Neurosurgeon gives assessment.
WASHINGTON, D.C. — “From a neurological standpoint, we were concerned about his disoriented wanderings,” says a neurosurgeon and medical correspondent for the American Broadcasting Corporation. CNN On Joe Biden’s appearance in the televised duel against Donald Trump. Many of his medical colleagues turned to him after the US president’s disaster. The unanimous opinion: Biden should seriously consider getting tested for “cognitive and motor disorders.”
But Biden is unlikely to actually undergo such a test. In his first interview after the televised debate, he told American radio: ABCHe refused to undergo a medical examination to determine his mental fitness.
’Test Every Day’ – Biden Leaves No Room for Doubt in Post-TV Duel Interview
ABCHost George Stephanopoulos previously asked the Democrat if he would be willing to undergo an independent medical examination and have the results released afterward. Biden’s neurological and cognitive status will also be examined.
Biden, however, doesn’t think much of it and dismisses the suggestion as unnecessary. “I take a cognitive test every day,” Biden said. “As you know, I’m not just campaigning, I’m running the world.” In addition, no doctor has expressed concerns to him about his mental state. On the contrary: Doctors will give him the best health I confirm.
Biden fails to quell doubts about his condition in ABC interview
In his ABC interview, Biden primarily did damage control. “I just had a bad night,” he said. He was tired, sick, and suffering from jet lag — even though his last flight was nearly two weeks ago.
Asked if he was still the same president he was at the start of his term, Biden pointed to his past successes: He put forward a Middle East peace plan, expanded NATO, and made the American economy grow.
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Biden Can’t Allay Doubts About His Suitability as a Candidate in TV Interview
After the interview, the general sentiment seems to be that Biden was unable to justify his loss in the televised duel against Trump. nbc news He sees Biden’s statements as a mixture of denial, defiance and contempt for critics.
So he shrugs off polls that sometimes show him trailing Republican Trump. “Every pollster I’ve talked to tells me it’s close,” Biden said. “It’s a close race.” He also steadfastly refuses to drop out of the November election. The president has said only God could make him do it. And because he’s ignorant of justified criticism, he also doesn’t take the concerns of his fellow citizens seriously.
’The Episode’ or 'The Case’ – Brain Expert Calls for Clarification of Biden’s Abilities After TV Duel
Former House Speaker and Biden’s party colleague, Nancy Pelosi, admitted after the televised duel that it was “legitimate” to ask questions about Biden’s condition. Especially if it was just an “episode” or a general “condition.” Pelosi herself admitted in an interview CNN She said she was not concerned about Biden’s condition. However, she expressed suspicion that Trump might be suffering from dementia.
Gupta at least acknowledges to the president that Biden’s failings may be due to his age. “These are normal and expected things that don’t necessarily interfere with a person’s ability to function, but they can also be a sign of dementia,” the expert writes. “Think of it like the difference between forgetting where you put your keys and not knowing what your keys are for.”
When he ran for president in 2020, Biden said he should be judged on his behavior. “All you have to do is watch me,” the president said. And according to Gupta, the country is now closely watching Biden’s performance. “And that assessment is cause for concern.”
Trump once took a test to detect early dementia
Trump underwent cognitive testing while in office. He had faced questions about his sanity because of his political style. At the time, the Republican decided to have his mental abilities tested — and took a test used, among other things, to detect early signs of dementia and suspected Alzheimer’s disease. According to his doctor, Trump passed, scoring 30 out of 30. (No)
„Praktyk żywieniowy. Guru bekonu. Irytująco pokorny entuzjasta zombie. Uczeń totalny”.
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