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NATO's response to Putin's attacks: experts fear quick action

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NATO's response to Putin's attacks: experts fear quick action
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The sky has become a battleground for a potential conflict between Russia and NATO. In Ukraine, Vladimir Putin is showing staying power.

Kyiv – Niklas Masohr was wrong. But huge. Or the Americans were wrong. or Vladimir Putin Fool Them All: In February Russia dictator in Ukraine war It launched its third fireworks display in the form of large-scale air strikes, at a cost of approximately 400 million euros, according to the magazine. Defense Express mentioned. Previously, he was said to have wasted nearly €600 million in January this year.

Niklas Masoher could not have imagined such massive blows at the end of the second year of the war. More than a year ago, the researcher said… Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH) In Zurich opposite Federal Agency for Civic Education She clearly identified a different assessment of the situation.

New Air Defense Command: Arrow-3 interceptor missile on an Israeli military base (archive photo). Germany wants to invest nearly five billion euros in two air defense systems. © -/Israeli Ministry of Defense/dpa

“If you look at the observers that way Institute for the Study of War (ISW) In Washington, D.C., the last major missile strike is believed to have been about 100 missiles on the ground Ukraine One of the last major attacks at the moment. Russia will soon not be able to afford to use self-guided precision weapons such as Iskander or Kalibr missiles for such a complex strike – that is, missiles. The Russian army is running out of precision ammunition. “There were only limited supplies from the beginning, and it is likely that a certain percentage of them will be frozen in anticipation of a possible escalation with NATO.” It is a complete miscalculation.

Putin's weapons industry: an inexhaustible arsenal – thanks to German help

Because what is present at the front currently looks different. While many attacks remain stuck on the front lines, Putin's military is expanding its air strikes in the Ukraine war. The Germans and other Western companies are still working hard for the Russian arms industry, according to research by the editorial team Answer-magazine a screen. With international support for Ukraine declining, Russia's arsenal appears inexhaustible. This may also be due to the fact that Western technology continues to be delivered to Russia despite numerous sanctions imposed by the European Union. Despite all the punishments, it is a horror with no predictable end.

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This is what Ukraine has been up to recently:

20 Shahd-136/131 drones from Chuda (Crimea);

29 Kh-101/Kh-555/Kh-55 cruise missiles from Tu-95MS bombers from Ingels (Caspian Sea);

04 Kh-22 cruise missiles from Tu-22M3 bombers from Sevastopol, Kursk;

03 Caliber cruise missiles launched from ships in the Black Sea;

03 Iskander-M ballistic missiles from Tarhankut (Crimea) and Voronezh (Russia);

05 S-300 surface-to-air missiles from Belgorod region (Russia).

Source: Kyiv Post

Experts still believe that the primary goal of these attacks appears to be to break Ukraine's will to resist. The goal is to worsen the humanitarian situation to such an extent that the Ukrainian population will put pressure on the government in Kiev. To make matters worse, the Russian side currently lacks the necessary momentum to carry out other far-reaching operations to regain the initiative. Masaher: “Such missile attacks are the only means that Russia currently has to strike Ukraine.” It is an expensive campaign. the Kyiv Post Provides estimates for Forbes magazine Latent.

Costs of each type of weapon (estimated)

Watch-136 – 47,000 euros

Kh-101 missile – 12 million;

Kh-555 – 3.7 million;

KH-55 -1.9 million;

KH-22 – 930,000;

Caliber – 6 million;

Iskander – 2.8 million;

S-300 – up to 500,000.

Source: Forbes

Given the scale of Russia's attacks, NATO is debating the matter controversially – politicians expect something bad, but science sees Russia's fur slipping more clearly with each day of the Ukrainian campaign. Danish Defense Minister Troels Lund Poulsen said Scandinavian countries are currently spreading a touch of panic: Denmark must accelerate its military investments after new evidence suggests that Russia is rearming faster than expected and that it may attack a NATO country within three to five years. Newspaper Jyllands Boston. “Russia’s ability to produce military equipment has increased significantly,” he said.

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It is conceivable that Russia will put Article 5 and NATO solidarity to the test within three to five years. “This was not the NATO assessment in 2023, but the new results that are emerging now,” Lund-Poulsen said. Federal Defense Minister Boris Pistorius (SPD) spoke of up to eight years of preparation time. In the short term, the risk of an attack on the Alliance is likely to be low, Lydia Wax says from Tank of thought Science and Policy Foundation: Russia's military capabilities, including its missiles, are sufficient to sustain the war in Ukraine – and in any case, there are no obvious immediate bottlenecks – the average number of cruise and ballistic missiles deployed alone is telling.

Putin's missile losses: 44 out of 64 missiles fell victim to anti-aircraft defense

At the same time, the country may need the remaining capabilities to achieve its political and military goals in Ukraine. However, it is expected that in the medium to long term Russia will be able to fully restore its capabilities. Wax estimates that even then, Russia probably has too few cruise missiles and rockets to wage a long conventional war with NATO. There is no doubt that the war in Ukraine is draining Russian arsenals; In addition, the accuracy of weapons is affected. Of the 64 missiles that recently penetrated Ukraine, Ukrainian anti-aircraft defenses shot 44 missiles out of the sky. Among them are 26 Kh-101/Kh-555/Kh-55 cruise missiles, 3 Kalibr cruise missiles, and 15 drones.

So far, Russia appears to have been unable to destroy or significantly weaken Ukrainian air defenses, and is therefore using its air forces in a fairly low-risk manner. Yet missiles are Vladimir Putin's weapon of choice, which is why the solidarity of NATO partners is so important. The second step of the “Sky Shield Initiative” has been achieved since the middle of last year. “To strengthen joint air defence, 19 European countries are currently uniting their efforts to procure appropriate weapon systems and ensure operations,” Federal Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said in Brussels at the end of last year. The framework conditions for cooperative procurement are therefore becoming more realistic in order to save costs for Europe and keep operating costs low.

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Putin's Future Terror: Arrow-3 – Experts decry this

Therefore, Germany is also purchasing IRIS-T SLM weapon systems (Infrared Imaging System – Medium-Range Surface Launched Tail/Thrust Controlled Weapon Systems), which have already proven themselves under combat conditions in Ukraine. However, the German army currently lacks systems capable of protecting German territory against long-range missiles. Therefore, the federal government is purchasing the Israeli-American Arrow 3 missile defense system for about four billion euros – a type of satellite that collides with an enemy missile at an altitude of about 100 kilometers in its path and thus destroys it.

The purchase was met with widespread approval in political Berlin, but raised eyebrows internationally. Unlike the Patriot missiles in the Bundeswehr and recently ordered by the Iris-T air defense systems, the Arrow-3 appears to be completely unsuitable for intercepting Russian missiles or cruise missiles. The arrow propels itself high into the Earth's atmosphere, and Russian missiles dive beneath it. Simon Hojbjerg-Petersen, a ballistic missile defense expert, called the Arrow-3 purchase “the strangest purchasing decision I've seen in a long time,” Frank Kuhn wrote.

Con is the project coordinator Arms Control Research Groups in the Natural and Technological Sciences (CNTR) In the Leibniz Institute for Peace and Conflict Research He argues critically against the Arrow-3: The greatest threat to Germany and Europe currently comes from the Russian 9K720 Iskander short-range missiles and the Kh-47M2 Kinzhal hypersonic weapon as well as Russian cruise missiles. But what all these weapon systems have in common is that they do not leave the Earth's atmosphere during flight. “In other words, the Arrow-3 cannot intercept Russian short-range missiles or cruise missiles at all,” Kuhn wrote.

the Mirror Cohen simply views the purchase as a “quick fix,” and is under the impression “that the purchase, similar to Turkey’s purchase of the Russian S-400 air defense system, was made primarily for symbolic reasons. In light of the turning point in foreign and security policy announced by the Chancellor Olaf Schulz, this would be a fatal signal. It remains to be seen how far Cohen has reached the goal.

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France adds „freedom of abortion” to its constitution

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France adds „freedom of abortion” to its constitution
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France adds „freedom of abortion” to its constitution

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“My Body, My Choice” was displayed on the Eiffel Tower after the vote to add “freedom to abortion” to the Constitution

Source: Reuters

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In France, Congress decided to enshrine “freedom of abortion” in the constitution. With this project, President Emmanuel Macron responded to the discussions taking place in the United States. Abortion advocates cheered after the decision in Paris.

FFrance is the first country in the world to include „freedom of abortion” in its constitution. Representatives of both houses of Parliament voted in favor of the corresponding constitutional amendment on Monday at the Palace of Versailles by 780 votes to 72. The announcement of the result was met with sustained applause.

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The two houses of Parliament, the National Assembly and the Senate, have already approved the bill individually. Article 34 of the Constitution stipulates “guaranteeing women’s freedom to have an abortion.”

Prime Minister Gabriel Attal spoke of the „moral guilt” of all the women who suffered. He stressed that „the suffering and memory of many, many women have haunted us for decades because of their inability to be liberated,” welcoming the „successful conclusion of a long struggle.”

Members of the National Assembly and Senate applauded after the vote in Versailles

Members of the National Assembly and Senate applauded after the vote in Versailles

Source: Agence France-Presse/Bertrand Guay

After the vote, supporters of the constitutional amendment chanted in the square opposite the Eiffel Tower. Many people watched the discussion and voted on a large screen. The Eiffel Tower sparkled in reverence. “Pride of France. A global message,” French President Emmanuel Macron wrote on X.

Opponents of constitutional change gathered near the Congress in Versailles. The Catholic Church also made clear that it continues to reject abortions. “In the era of universal human rights, there can be no ‘right’ to destroy human life,” the Pontifical Academy for Life said, according to BFMTV.

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File photo: French President Macron hosts the Ukraine summit in Paris

opinion Abortion in the Constitution

The inclusion in the Constitution is primarily symbolic. Abortions up to the 10th week of pregnancy have remained unpunished in France since 1975. Pregnant women in France can now have an abortion up to the 14th week, and their health insurance covers the costs. With the initiative to amend the constitution in 2022, President Macron responded to cuts in abortion rights in the United States of America.

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The constitutional amendment document was stamped with the state seal at Versailles using a historic stamp press. It is scheduled to ceremoniously conclude again on International Women's Day on March 8.

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An explosion paralyzes train traffic in the Samara region of Russia

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An explosion paralyzes train traffic in the Samara region of Russia

As of: March 4, 2024 at 5:30 p.m

Ukraine said it caused severe damage to a railway bridge in Russia's Samara region. The railway was used to transport military materials. According to Russian information, train traffic has been suspended.

Russian information reported that a railway bridge was damaged as a result of an explosion that occurred in the Samara region, southwestern Russia, on the Volga River. The regional railway company said the accident occurred due to “interference by unauthorized persons.” Train traffic stopped.

Ukraine's military intelligence agency HUR said it disabled a railway bridge over the Chapaevka River in Russia's Samara region. Accordingly, part of the bridge structure was damaged as a result of an explosion that occurred at approximately 6:00 AM (local time, 3:00 AM CET).

HUR explained that Russia used the railway „to transport military materials, especially explosives, which were manufactured at a polymer factory in the city of Chapaevsk.” The intelligence agency added that the bridge would be out of service „for a long period of time.”

Apparently there are no injuries

According to Russian Railways, there were no casualties. The TASS news agency reported, citing emergency services, that an explosive device destroyed a column on the railway bridge over the Chapaevka River in the section between the city of Chapaevsk and the suburb of Zvezda.

“Rail traffic on this section is currently suspended,” the local railway company said. According to TASS, security forces cordoned off the area surrounding the bridge. The Russian authorities did not initially provide any information about the cause of the accident.

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Production of explosives In a chemical factory

Chapaevsk is an industrial city with a population of about 70 thousand people. The most important company in the city is a chemical plant that also produces explosives. Chapaevsk is located about a thousand kilometers from Ukraine, against which Russia has been waging an aggressive war for more than two years.

Russia has announced a series of attacks on its industrial and logistics infrastructure in recent months, blaming Ukraine.

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European Union: Burbock calls for support for Western Balkan countries to join the European Union

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European Union: Burbock calls for support for Western Balkan countries to join the European Union

Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock (Green Party) called for supporting the Western Balkan countries „with all our strength” on their path to the European Union. “We cannot afford to have gray areas anywhere in Europe, and we must do everything together to close the wings that Russia can use for its policy of destabilization, disinformation and infiltration,” she said before leaving. the black Mountain And Bosnia and Herzegovina. This includes supporting countries in “strengthening their democratic institutions, improving their resilience, and improving people’s economic prospects.”

“The fact that we support the six countries in the region with all our might on their path to the European Union has become a geopolitical necessity, especially in light of brutal Russian imperialism,” she said. We in the European Union have a „shared duty to prepare ourselves for the future while putting more chairs at the European table.”

Montenegro and Bosnia and Herzegovina are among the so-called Western Balkan countries. These also include Albania, Serbia, North Macedonia and Kosovo. The European Union views Montenegro as the country furthest along in the accession process. The European Union is not expected to be enlarged before the end of the decade at the earliest. Bosnia and Herzegovina has candidate status, but has not yet entered into negotiations.

Montenegro's ambitious agenda

Berbock said Montenegro has been a NATO ally for years. During the EU accession process, the country set itself an ambitious agenda, which it is now boldly tackling again. Their talks in the capital, Podgorica, will also focus on how Montenegro can make better progress in reforming the rule of law and in the fight against corruption and organized crime.

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In Montenegro, Prime Minister Milojo Spajic and President Jakov Milatović have been in power again since 2023, with two declaring themselves pro-European. However, Spic can only be elected with the support of small pro-Russian and pro-Serbian parties.

Divided Bosnia and Herzegovina

A meeting is scheduled to be held with the Presidency of State in Sarajevo, the capital of Bosnia and Herzegovina. It consists of one representative each of the Bosniak, Serb and Croat ethnic groups. A conversation will also be held with the High Representative of the international community in Bosnia and Herzegovina, German Christian Schmidt.

Bosnia and Herzegovina is divided into entities called the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina (abbreviated FBiH) and the ethnic Serb part Republika Srpska (RS). The president of Republika Srpska is Serb nationalist Milorad Dodik, who seeks secession. Dodik is currently on trial in Sarajevo on charges of causing the non-publishment of the decisions of the representative of the international community in the Official Gazette of Republika Srpska. Recently, Dodik visited Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko from Russia President Vladimir Putin.

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