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Ukraine significantly increases the death toll from Putin's tanks

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Ukraine significantly increases the death toll from Putin's tanks
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It has now become a familiar sight across various sectors of the front: a destroyed Russian tank, about 30 kilometers west of Kiev. (Archive photo) Russia is bleeding profusely. © Michael Brochstein/DPA

Ukraine destroys tank after tank – always setting new records, but Russia is strict. Experts believe that the country will be able to rearm itself at a rapid pace.

Avdiivka – Andrew Perpetua is amazed – up X (previously Twitter) writes: These are the losses today: 100 pieces. „The biggest amount I've ever counted in one day.” Analyst Perpetua compiles vehicle losses for both sides in the Ukraine war and posts daily lists of them on his channel. He reached the shockingly high figure on Saturday (February 3).

Russia subsequently lost at least 54 vehicles that day. 16 others were damaged. Ukrainian losses appear to have been light: nine vehicles were destroyed, abandoned or captured and a further 21 vehicles were damaged. Forbes This prompts one to say: „This Saturday was one of the worst days of the war for Moscow.”

Forbes He goes further: “The clock is ticking. The Kremlin may run out of combat vehicles within six months.”

A few days ago, Vladimir Putin's forces had lost an entire column in one fell swoop in the middle of the day. Video footage on social media shows this Ukrainian drone attack on a Russian armored convoy – All vehicles are said to have been destroyed; Including three main battle tanks, an armored personnel carrier and seven armored vehicles. They march in the middle of the day without any cover, infantry support, or weather monitoring. Your goal should be according to the information received from picture The goal was probably to encircle the disputed town of Novomychalevka from the south and advance to the strategically important road to Wohledar. The target appears to have been the positions of the 72nd Mechanized Infantry Brigade in Ukraine.

Russia is cavalier about losses; what breaks simply stays put

Russia can no longer take full advantage of everything – Ukraine is clearly destroying things faster than Putin can fix them. However, losses are calculated in Russian military tactics: the Russians always think of people and materials as a group and pay little attention to the individual person or individual vehicle; However, some recorded vehicle losses are only temporary losses from the battle: “The Russians assume that they will push forward sooner or later anyway; in this regard, tank strike crews simply exit and return to the next tanks,” says Ralf Rath. „The wreckage and they know that someone will take care of it.” The historian is director of the German Tank Museum in Münster.

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During the first two years of the war, the Russians lost, according to analysts oryx About 80 armored personnel carriers per month. If this rate of loss continues in the current year, and at the same time the production of new armored personnel carriers remains stable at 30 to 40 per month, it is expected that the Kremlin will run out of combat vehicles in about two years. Forbes. Maybe by 2026. The situation will become precarious if Russia loses more and more vehicles to Ukraine – perhaps at a faster pace than before. According to Perpetua's tally on Sunday, they lost 13 tracked IFVs in one more day – plus additional wheeled IFVs.

Russia will likely reach the end of its technical strength sooner than expected

Journalist David Ax rubbed his eyes: “This means a monthly loss of about 400 armored personnel carriers. That is, five times the rate we observed in previous years. Unless the situation changes in Putin's favor, Russia will no longer be able to provide vehicles for another two years of war.

German sources divide the list of missing Russian military equipment into four categories: “destroyed,” “damaged,” “abandoned,” and “captured”; 1,776 vehicles were destroyed, 644 damaged, 723 abandoned and 2,933 units captured intact by the enemy. Total loss of combat power of 14,265 units – Oryx's figures agree with this, while other sources are actually very crude.

The numbers are determined on the basis of evaluated satellite images – clearly evidence of Ukraine's correct tactics, even if the hoped-for success of the counterattack has not yet been achieved. Using Avdiivka as an example, German political scientist Carlo Massala explains Hamburger Ebenblatt, that Ukraine decided to hold Avdiivka for as long as possible so that Putin's forces would be as depleted as possible. Masala expects a “tactical withdrawal,” as he put it, from the city every hour. However, the Russians continue to fight doggedly for the city, without giving it much tactical importance – it represents a symbol of the mutual test of strength.

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The silver lining for Ukraine: territory loss is limited

The better news for the Friends of a Free Ukraine, according to media reports, is how much ground the Ukrainians would lose if they destroyed Russian assault units: very little. On one of the fiercest days of the war, the Russians advanced a hundred meters in the south and about 1,000 meters in the north in the most violent part of the front – around Avdiivka. However, reports of diminished Russian capabilities continue to emerge from time to time. For example, he had Daily Mirror As early as mid-August last year, there was suspicion that Russia would soon be fighting with its latest cartridge – but that was not the case.

According to photos available at that time, Russia was supposed to have picked up hundreds of old Soviet tanks from a military warehouse in Siberia. Five months before the start of the Russian War of Aggression, some 3,840 tanks and vehicles from the Soviet Union were still stored in the warehouse near the city of Ulan-Ude – probably covering more than ten square kilometres. Moscow Times had claimed. The site is expected to open in November 2022 Only about 2,600 military vehicles remain. Satellite images taken from a mapping platform Google Maps Used ones show larger gaps between the rest of the equipment. It is unclear whether the vehicles were sent to the front or were used as donor parts.

After the first year of the war, it is estimated that Vladimir Putin's forces still possess more than 12,000 battle tanks, a number that NATO clearly exceeds with modern vehicles. Based on current developments, there may be slight doubts about the extent to which Russia will be able to gain a military foothold again in the coming period. Completely independent of the outcome of the Ukraine war.

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But NATO Commander-in-Chief Christopher Cavoli swears to himself that after the war ends and the modernization process stops, Russia will return to Europe stronger than before. Hamburger Ebenblatt Quote: Within five years of the end of the war, an aggressive Russia had managed not only to modernize its army, but even to expand it into a larger and more capable armed force. This includes a modernization program with new technologies that the West should be concerned about – “from the Avangard hypersonic glide weapon, which carries nuclear bombs to their target at several times the speed of sound and on an unpredictable trajectory, to the underwater nuclear weapon.” . Poseidon drone, which could trigger a radiation tsunami. However, Cavoli ignores the topic of tanks. The potentially massive tank formations of the Cold War may have been overtaken by current warfare dynamics.

Forbes However, he only assesses the current combat situation and encourages seeing the silver lining on the horizon, as David Ax writes: He assumes that there is still a spark of reason on the part of the Russian General Staff: “There is no rational and moral commander.” It will have many armored vehicles and exchange hundreds of soldiers for a few hundred meters of terrain.

However, blogger Beritua hardly finds any reason for such hope at his tables – except on this particularly favorable day for Ukraine. Russia can still improve. The facts speak for themselves. (Carsten Hinzmann)

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Russia escalates border conflict – migrants 'like pawns'

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Russia escalates border conflict – migrants 'like pawns'

In the border region with Finland, Russia uses migrants as a means of pressure to weaken the cohesion of the European Union. Finland responds with countermeasures.

Finland has been part of NATO since April 2023, abandoning its decades-old neutrality. Since then, tensions have increased with neighboring Russia. In addition to canceling the bilateral border agreement, Russian President Vladimir Putin also announced the transfer of troops to the border area with Finland. This is also evident in this year's annual report issued by the Estonian government, which shows that Russia is planning to deploy new units near the Finnish border.

Finland has responded to Russian measures by building a border fence up to 200 kilometers long – not least to combat illegal immigration in the border area allegedly controlled by Russia. The Frankfurter Rundschau reports on this matter.

As Finnish Interior Minister Mari Rantanen revealed in a press conference on Tuesday, the Finnish government has information that “thousands of people are waiting on the Russian side to reach Finland.” According to Rantanen, it can be assumed that more migrants will try to cross the border once temperatures rise in the spring.

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The Finnish border with Russia is currently closed. According to the conservative Finnish government, this will not change until May this year after the number of migrants at the border rose rapidly at the end of 2023. According to the Finnish Border Authority, about 1,300 migrants from countries such as Yemen, Somalia and Syria tried to reach Finland via Russia between August and December 2023. Previously, only one asylum seeker applied for asylum per day on average.

Finland-Russia is Belarus-Poland

According to Armida van Rij of think tank Chatham House, Russia's strategy of using controlled migration as a means of pressure and thus undermining the cohesion of Western countries is a so-called gray zone tactic. According to van Rij, such tactics involve measures that go beyond purely political pressure, but do not clearly constitute an act of aggression. It is therefore difficult to evaluate such measures under international law.

The issue of migration is particularly ripe for dividing EU member states, as the issue is particularly polarizing within the Union. According to Van Rij, the migrants will be used “like pawns” to advance Russian interests.

Between 2021 and 2022, Belarusian Governor Alexander Lukashenko deliberately deployed migrants to the border region with Poland in order to pressure the European Union and force an end to sanctions against Belarus – but to no avail.

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“Put obstacles in our way”: Burbuk plane stuck in Rio de Janeiro

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“Put obstacles in our way”: Burbuk plane stuck in Rio de Janeiro

„Put obstacles in our way”
Birbok plane stuck in Rio de Janeiro

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Foreign Minister Baerbock was praising the G20 as an engine for reform in international relations, when suddenly her plane got stuck in Rio de Janeiro. The captain suspects that “the Brazilians are putting obstacles in our way.” This is not the first accident that the green politician has been exposed to.

Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock once again suffered a delay in one of her trips abroad. The Green politician originally wanted to leave for New York at around 5:30pm (CET) from the G20 foreign ministers meeting in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Initially there was a waiting time because the government's Airbus A350-900 still had to be refueled. After completing refueling at approximately 6:30 p.m., the flight commander had to continue to postpone the minister. “Looks like the worm is there today,” the captain said. “We are currently trying to get permission to start the flight to New York. But the Brazilians are putting obstacles in our way today, one way or another.” At the moment, it appears that the departure permit will not be issued for another 30 to 40 minutes at the earliest. „I can't tell you why. In 40 years of flying service, I've never encountered anything like this. I'm sorry.”

At approximately 7 p.m., the plane took off on a nine-hour flight to New York. Baerbock wants to speak there on Friday, among other things, at the UN General Assembly and UN Security Council meetings on the second anniversary of the Russian attack on Ukraine.

Lots of experience dealing with disrupted flights

Only in January did Baerbock, often affected by problems on commercial flights, have to make an unplanned layover on a trip to East Africa. Due to the lack of a flight permit for Eritrea, their plane had to return en route from Berlin to Djibouti in East Africa and land in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.

Baerbock had previously described the G20 round as a “reform engine” within international institutions such as the United Nations. “If we want to meet the complex challenges of the 21st century, our multilateral institutions must not remain stuck in the last century,” the Green politician said in a discussion among G20 foreign ministers on reforms of international political organizations and the international financial architecture. “I believe that the G20 can and must play a decisive role in this reform process.”

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Martin Sonneborn in an interview about Assange: “It borders on sabotage”

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Martin Sonneborn in an interview about Assange: “It borders on sabotage”
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Martin Sonneborn speaks in an interview about Julian Assange's hearing. © Alberto Pizzali/Philip von Dittfurth/DPA

The Supreme Court in London decides to extradite Julian Assange to the United States. European Parliamentarian Martin Sonneborn speaks about the issue in an interview.

Mr Sonneborn, you are attending Julian Assange's extradition hearing in London. How has it gone so far?

Sonneborn: Actually very good. There were two submissions that were brilliantly presented by Assange's lawyers. I was in the courtroom and understood almost nothing.

There were reports that the technology left a lot to be desired.

What the British are doing here amounts to sabotage. The world's most important trial over freedom of the press – and it's taking place in the smallest courtroom you can find in the Supreme Court. The court blocked granting internet access outside of England and Wales – so people from the USA, Australia and the EU were unable to connect. Hence there is only room for twenty journalists at the exhibition. With live streaming, postage stamp-sized heads appear on the screen, often with no discernible sound for the first half. We managed to sneak into the hall, and MP Sevim Dagdelen was sitting with the Assange family and he let us in. Germans abroad must band together.

Sonneborn on Assange: “An attempt to silence critical journalism”

Assange case

The United States charges Julian Assange The charges of espionage and conspiracy threaten his personal safety and freedom of the press. A hearing on Assange's extradition to the United States was held at the High Court in London on February 20-21. This initially ended without resolution. If extradited, Assange could face up to 175 years in prison.

Frankfurter Rundschau The case of Julian Assange is accompanied by analyses, commentaries and interviews. They highlight the background and provide an overview of events in London. We have compiled the texts into our electronic file on Assange.

What did Assange's lawyers say?

All the arguments are on his side – I have shown once again how crazy it is to accuse a propagandist of publishing true information, including US war crimes. The whole thing is an attempt to criminalize and silence critical journalism. Assange's information was available in Spiegel, The Guardian, and The New York Times.

Assange is accused of espionage. what do you think?

Even if the espionage charge was deemed justified, he would not be allowed to be extradited because that would violate the bilateral extradition treaty between the United States and Great Britain, which includes an explicit ban on political crimes. Espionage is considered a political crime under British law.

An Australian citizen is set to receive a 175-year prison sentence in the USA for exposing US war crimes. I once recommended to my colleagues in the European Union Parliament to show the film „Collateral Murder” on YouTube in one of my speeches. American soldiers can be seen shooting indiscriminately at civilians, children and journalists from a helicopter in Baghdad. The people who committed these war crimes will not be tried. And the man who announced this had been rotting in six-square-meter cells for five years.

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Extradition Hearing – Concern about Assange is great

Julian Assange himself was not present on Tuesday. They said he was sick. What do you know about his condition?

There is great concern for him here. He has been detained in a high-security prison for five years, without any valid legal basis. Belmarsh, to make this more descriptive, is the prison where the supervillains in the James Bond films are imprisoned. British food in solitary confinement, with malnutrition, is often an additional torture, as I have just discovered again in London.

At least he was still connected to the last trial, right?

Yes, there was a camera in the cell he was in. Assange suffered a minor stroke during the trial. It must be terrible when you're sitting there listening to lawyers negotiating your fate with other lawyers, and you can't even express yourself. On Tuesday, a luxury cell was prepared for him in the courtroom: a wire cage.

Wire cage?

Yes, you have to imagine it a little like the old Robin Hood movies. A late British Gothic room in which a few light bulbs, some broken microphones and some decorated curtains are hung in front of the high windows. On the front left was a few square metres, perhaps larger than his cell, which was surrounded by huge black bars. This is where Assange was supposed to sit.

The petitions claimed that Assange was accused of a political crime and that Britain was not allowed to extradite him because of a related treaty with the United States. What to expect for day two?

On Wednesday, the American side filed its charges under the Espionage Act, a law dating back to World War I. In fact, I don't see what would be great in terms of content. However, we know of course that the final decision will be made in Washington whether to halt this process or continue it until the bitter end.

'It's not enough': Sonneborn on lack of support for Assange

Do you have the impression that the number of Assange supporters has decreased? In Germany, many Green leaders have remained virtually silent. What does the situation look like in the European Parliament?

I think there are three MEPs here. This is very little. I saw Andrzej Honko and Sevim Dagdelen from the Bundestag and Jeremy Corbyn from the Labor Party. It is very unfortunate that more politicians are not defending Assange. It's about absolute basic rights, and it's about these Western values ​​that we always vocalize when it suits us. Unfortunately, both Baerbock and Habeck, who had publicly called for Assange's release before the government took office, promptly forgot their demands in their offices. Fortunately, there were a relatively large number of people on the streets of London.

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It was previously said that Julian Assange could be extradited to the United States within a few days after the hearing. How do you rate that?

So, based on everything I've heard, I think Democrats don't want to have a third contentious issue before the presidential election in addition to the problem areas of Ukraine and the Middle East. I think it will not be delivered at the moment. Assange may remain detained in his cell until the US elections.

Supporters demand freedom for Julian Assange. But if he is not extradited to the US after the hearing, but remains imprisoned in Belmarsh, it will only be a victory. On what legal basis can he continue to be detained?

The court may postpone its pending decision indefinitely. Assange has hardly any contact with his family. He has two young children and a wife. This is very stressful for everyone. An example is made here.

French texts on the Assange case (selection)

– Julian Assange in Portrait: One Man, Many Faces
Comment: The Assange case is a campaign against freedom of the press
– Article: Art, Protest, and the Julian Assange Case
– The United States of America and the Assange case: the dark side of power
– Analysis: What remains of WikiLeaks?
– Retrospective article: For Julian Assange, it's all about the now
– Support: Protests in front of the magnificent London Palace
– Politics: In the Assange case, the Greens were clearly silent

Interviews:
-Stella Assange: “Julian could be on a plane to the United States the day after the hearing.”
-Jeremy Corbyn: 'The media is very disappointing'

Assange case: Every whistleblower will 'think three times' in the future

What do you mean?

In the future, all whistleblowers will think three times whether they really want to expose government crimes. But I think everyone understands that at this point, so: release Assange! There is a public interest in uncovering Secret Service and military crimes.

We have published a 32-page booklet on the case, which can be downloaded from my home page. This is the only semi-official document from the EU Parliament in which Assange's name is mentioned. Otherwise, the major parties will work to distance him from even the smallest mention on any sub-point, even in the least important decisions. In our documentary, which is unfortunately not at all satirical, and even a bit controversial at times when the story becomes too tiresome, it becomes clear that Mike “Fatty” Pompeo is waging a vendetta against him.

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Mike Pompeo, former Secretary of State and former CIA Director?

Yes. Assange has posted via WikiLeaks that the CIA not only conducts mass surveillance and espionage on governments and citizens around the world, but also – and this is against US law – on its own American citizens. It is capable of invading all computers and even taking over Internet-connected home appliances, even steering your car or turning your refrigerator into a well-stocked listening device. Pompeo took this personally, and the CIA then hatched a plan to kidnap and kill Assange. Approved by the White House. How do you want to extradite a person to a country that was planning to kill him?

I said that at the European Union level they avoid mentioning Assange's name. what is the reason?

I think that at the moment under Ms. von der Leyen's leadership, we are very close to the United States and NATO. This is anti-European and contrary to the Treaty. The Assange case is important to the highest levels of government in the United States; Every US president has pursued him, from Obama to Trump to Biden.

“There are two reasons”: Sonneborn is running for the EU Parliament again

Another question about your renewed candidacy for membership in the European Union Parliament. What motivates you to do this – the final part of idealism?

There are two reasons why we are competing again. The first is: We don't want to get kicked out the door. The CDU and SPD have passed an electoral law reform that violates the constitution and aims to keep us out of parliament using a threshold clause. The real accusation: very bad jokes and too much transparency. We are currently conducting member dispute procedures, and the Federal Constitutional Court recently informed President Steinmeier that he should not prepare the new electoral law at this time. Smiling

I think the accusation of transparency is more serious, right?

Exactly, and this is also the second reason: we can create transparency. Your colleagues here in Brussels are not that critical. But in the European Union we are moving more and more towards surveillance, extra-treaty militarization, and discrimination of opinions. I would like to continue to make all of these things transparent.

Interview: Christine is grateful

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