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Latest opinion poll ahead of the 2024 European elections in Germany: Habeck’s Green Party is thriving



Latest opinion poll ahead of the 2024 European elections in Germany: Habeck’s Green Party is thriving
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According to a new poll, the Union can hope to achieve a clear victory in the European elections in Germany. The AfD, the Social Democratic Party, and the Greens are on equal footing.

BERLIN – The Union could be happy: a little while ago European elections 2024 It is clear that the CDU and CSU are on their way to victory in Germany. This shows from a new and final poll shortly before the start of the EU elections in Germany. In the current ZDF-„Additional political barometer” In the European elections scheduled for June 9, the CDU and CSU will together receive 30%. If this result is confirmed, it is clear that the union will be the strongest force. It could even improve its results slightly from the last European elections in 2019 (28.9 percent).

According to the latest poll before the European elections in 2024, things do not look rosy for the Green Party led by Economy Minister Robert Habeck. There is a risk of huge losses compared to the 2019 EU elections. © Boris Rösler/DPA

Judging by the latest poll before the EU elections, one party is likely to be the clear loser after the results of the 2024 European elections in Germany.

Latest poll for the 2024 European elections in Germany: Current poll values ​​from Ipsos paint a similar picture for the EU elections

According to the current Ipsos poll on the 2024 European elections, a similar picture emerges for the EU elections as with the Politbarometer poll results. According to the current poll, the European Union can expect a clear victory in the European elections scheduled for June 7th. 30% of those eligible to vote are likely to vote for the CDU and CSU.

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According to the EU election poll, a close race is emerging in the fight for second place: the Green Party and the Social Democratic Party are tied, with the AfD narrowly following. It is possible that the „Sahra-Wagenknecht” coalition received seven percent of the votes immediately.

Latest poll before the 2024 European elections: CDU/CSU in clear lead – Habeck’s Greens face a bitter blow?

But who will end up behind the Union in the 2024 European elections? This question remains quite open according to the current EU election poll conducted by Politbarometer. What is clear is that there is a close race between them Alternative for Germany partyThe Social Democratic Party and the Greens. According to the information, the percentage of the three parties is 14 percent. For comparison: in the elections five years ago, the Social Democratic Party received 15.8%, while 11% of those eligible to vote voted for the AfD.

According to the Greens, the Greens should oppose this Current poll before the European elections We expect big losses. The result of the 2024 European elections was then 20.5 percent for the party of Robert Habeck and Annalena Baerbock. And according to current polling, they are likely to miss that goal.

Latest poll for the 2024 European elections: Sahra Wagenknecht’s BSW party can hope – FDP defeated

According to the latest poll before the European elections in 2024, this is likely to be a strong result BSW Calculate. Newly formed alliance Sarah Wagenknecht He can hope to obtain seven percent of the votes in the European Union elections. This puts BSW far ahead of FDP, which currently has just four percent (2019: 5.4%). Three percent end up in the survey Leave (2019: 5.5%) and Volt (2019: 0.7%).

However, the Election Research Group stressed that the poll values ​​only reflect the mood of the parties at this time ahead of the EU elections in 2024 – and are not a forecast of the outcome and results of the European elections in Germany. Additionally, 42% of those surveyed were not currently sure who they were or whether they wanted to vote. However, this confirms ZDF– The political barometer towards other opinion research institutes. In any case, all current polls before the European elections in 2024 show similar values.

Current poll ahead of the 2024 European elections: Voter turnout in the EU elections likely to be stable compared to 2019

In the current poll, 61% expressed strong or very strong interest in the 2024 European elections, while 38% expressed less or no interest at all. This suggests that voter turnout in the EU elections will be at the same level as in 2019.

These days the citizens of the 27th District vote European UnionProvides for a new European Parliament. Holland started on 6 June. In most countries, voting takes place on Sunday. In Germany, people are also asked to fill out their ballot paper for the 2024 European elections on June 9th, thus casting their votes in the EU elections. (CS/AFP/AFP)

Note: The Election Research Group surveyed a total of 1,223 randomly selected eligible voters by phone and online on June 5 and 6 for “Politbarometer Extra.” The likely error rate is about two to three percentage points.

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Putin’s peace offer in Ukraine war is merely a 'revival of National Socialism’



Putin’s peace offer in Ukraine war is merely a 'revival of National Socialism’

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky rejected Russian President Vladimir Putin’s offer for peace negotiations. He compared the Kremlin’s actions to the policies of Adolf Hitler in the Third Reich.

In an interview with the Italian news channel Sky TG24 Zelensky explained that the offer was an ultimatum that would not differ from previous ones. “What he is doing is reviving Nazism,” Zelensky said. Therefore, Putin wants Ukraine to give up the territories occupied by Russia, but at the same time he is interested in the unoccupied territories. According to Zelensky, Putin has no intention of ending the war. A frozen conflict will not be possible.

The Ukrainian head of state cited the partition and annexation of Czechoslovakia by Adolf Hitler in 1938 as an example of this approach. The German dictator at the time claimed that the Sudetenland was Nazi Germany’s last territorial demand – which ultimately turned out to be just that. to lie.

About Zelensky’s statements The Kyiv Independent website also reported.

Zelensky’s advisor: The proposals do not end the war in Ukraine

Mykhailo Podoliak, Zelensky’s advisor, commented In a post on X And also Putin’s demands. Russian claims on Ukraine would amount to Ukraine ceding its territory, giving up its sovereignty and leaving itself unprotected. He also stressed that the peace proposals are not new and that they will not end the war.

Giving up territory and not joining NATO: this is what Putin demands

On Friday afternoon, Putin made the withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from four regions and renunciation of NATO membership a condition for peace negotiations. Putin told Russian Foreign Ministry executives that once Kiev begins withdrawing from the Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhia regions and formally abandons its plans to join NATO, „we will cease fire immediately, literally in the same minute, and start talks.” .

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Putin called on Ukraine to hand over these areas, which are partially occupied by the Russian army, to Russia. Moscow announced the annexation of Ukraine’s eastern and southern regions in September 2022. For Kiev, these conditions represent an effective demand for surrender. (With AFP)

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Ukraine War: Ukraine and NATO reject Putin’s ceasefire conditions



Ukraine War: Ukraine and NATO reject Putin’s ceasefire conditions

the Ukraine He rejected Russian President Vladimir Putin’s conditions for a ceasefire and peace negotiations, describing them as „eyewash.” “There is nothing new, no real peace proposals and no desire to end the fighting,” Ukrainian presidential advisor Mykhailo Podlyak wrote on Channel X. One must stop taking Russia’s „proposals” seriously, which contradict common sense.

It was before Put it in He told Russian Foreign Ministry executives that his country would „immediately cease fire and begin talks” if Ukraine withdraws from the Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions and renounces NATO membership. Ukraine should also fully hand over to Russia the areas partially occupied by the Russian army.

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba described Putin’s statements as ridiculous. Kuleba said that Putin’s goal is to mislead the international community.

The United States government does not want peace through dictatorship

Secretary General of NATO Jens Stoltenberg He said at the conclusion of a meeting of defense ministers in Brussels that Putin’s conditions „are not a peace proposal” but „a proposal for more aggression and more occupation.”

US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin accused Putin of wanting to „dictate” peace to Ukraine. Putin has occupied Ukrainian territory in violation of international law and has been unable to tell Ukraine what to do to reach a solution. Austin said: “We do not want the leader of a country to wake up one day and decide to erase his neighbor’s borders and annex his lands. This is not the world we all want to live in.”

Ukraine demands the complete withdrawal of Russian forces

Ukraine is conducting a complete withdrawal of Russian forces from its internationally recognized territory, including in 2014. Russia Annexation of Crimea as a condition for possible peace negotiations.

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Sahira Wagenknecht finds Putin’s demands „understandable”

On the other hand, BSW President Sarah Wagenknecht called for openness to Putin’s conditions. Wagenknecht said Ukraine and the West must „avoid the historical mistake of crudely dismissing signals from Moscow as unrealistic maximum demands.” Instead, Putin’s initiative should be treated “with due seriousness” and seen as a starting point for negotiations.

Wagenknecht said that Ukraine’s permanent non-nuclear status and renunciation of NATO membership are „understandable demands from Russia.” It is „in Europe’s existential interest to find a compromise now to avoid the risk of a major European war.” The G7 heads of state and government must respond quickly to this offer.

At the end of the week, representatives of more than 90 countries and organizations want to speak in Switzerland about the possibilities for achieving peace in Ukraine. Russia does not participate.

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Elections in Great Britain: Poll finds the UK Reform Party ahead of the Conservative Party for the first time



Elections in Great Britain: Poll finds the UK Reform Party ahead of the Conservative Party for the first time

Three weeks before Great Britain’s general election, the right-wing populist Reform Party of Britain is said to have overtaken Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s conservative Conservative Party in a poll for the first time. In the institute’s published survey YouGov On behalf of the newspaper times The UK’s reform rate rose by two percentage points to 19 per cent, putting it in second place behind Labour.

According to the poll, Labor itself lost one percentage point, but is still clearly in the lead with 37 percent. President Rishi Sunak’s Conservatives remained unchanged at 18 percent, putting them in third place for the first time. Although the gap between the Conservatives and Reform in the UK is small, YouGov is already talking about a political 'earthquake’.

However, the impressive result of the poll by international opinion research institute YouGov rests on a relatively uncertain foundation. There is currently no other poll to confirm the result. YouGov surveys are based on invitations via email or in the YouGov app. There, users can answer questions on a wide range of topics. Users receive points that can be collected and redeemed for rewards.

About uncertainties in surveys

Representative surveys are always subject to errors. It can be assumed that the actual value is likely to be in the range of one to three percentage points above or below the finally declared measured values. We now show the corridor for this statistical error in our graphics of the election polls.

Results are always based on sample surveys. These services usually only cover certain parts of the population (such as people with a landline phone connection or Internet users). Some potential participants are passive and do not even want to be interviewed. Questions are sometimes misunderstood and not always answered truthfully. For example, also in response to previous surveys. However, in order to account for general opinion across all population groups, pollsters must compensate for missing measurements and suspected inaccuracies and reweight the available numbers. These (usually opaque) formulas vary between institutions and therefore lead to different data.

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Survey results are always snapshots. Nothing more can be drawn from this than an approximate tendency of opinion. Even if the statements and calculations at the time of the poll’s publication were close to reality, it is still unclear whether voters surveyed at that time would actually cast their ballots later or change their minds in a short time.

The Conservatives have been in power for 14 years and are under intense pressure before the elections. In opinion polls, the Conservatives have been significantly trailing the opposition Labor Party for several months.

The Reform Party UK is the new party led by Nigel Farage, who was previously leader of the Brexit Party. With its tough anti-immigrant stance, the UK Reform Party could steal more votes from the Conservatives. Farage said in a debate on Britain’s ITV that he actually sees his party as „the opposition to Labour”.

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