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Putin’s treacherous weapon – and Habik’s counterattack

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Putin’s treacherous weapon – and Habik’s counterattack

Good morning, dear readers,

It may also be due to the heat and his corona disease, which is currently forcing him to work from home – Anyway, Robert Habeck had a pulse on Thursday.

Habek said shortly after the start of his press conference that he wanted to accept the comment he had read and rejected. Note from the Kremlin: that is to Russia is the guarantor of energy security in Europe. is being.

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This is a distortion of every fact.Habek said. “Actually, Russia is using its great power – a very great power that we gave to Russia.” To blackmail Europe and Germany“This is the opposite of the guarantor of energy security.” Puff.

It was a great message from the Economy Minister on the day Putin restarted the gas. Not quite, but at least at least 40 percent, as much as it was before the ten-day maintenance work on Nord Stream 1. But instead of being happy with the obvious, Habeck reacted – offensively. Not just on Putin’s propaganda. And rightly so.

Robert Habeck: Attack rather than the obvious.
Robert Habeck: Attack rather than the obvious. (Source: Sven Simon / imago-photos)

Ideally, we journalists are good at criticizing politics when things go wrong. This is part of our job. We tend to be a little taciturn when someone does something well. This is also part of a whole picture. And Habek did well on Thursday. Instead of playing with Putin, instead of making his most dangerous weapon more powerful than it already is, Habek tried to reduce the damage.

One might assume that Habek did not say so out of a sense of duty. Rather, it is an attempt not to let Putin slip away so easily. Because he doesn’t really care if we have to take cold showers and wear thick sweaters. For him, gas is a lever to achieve more.

Putin wants to destroy our democracy, Europe, the West itself. It has been rumored about for a long time now. By pointing out the culprit, Habek is trying to wrest a little bit of the power that Putin wields over us with his most dangerous weapon. Because with the gas faucet, Putin fills up Not only direct distributional disputes in Germany and Europe. This is bad enough. One gas tap too Powerful distraction machine.

while we Staring at the gas pipeline flow meter And they are busy adjusting the hydraulics of our heating, Putin continues his war in Ukraine relentlessly, our exchange of armored rings with NATO partners has failed, the traffic lights coalition is at odds over relief, new tensions are arising in the European Union, there is a fire in Germany and the world because of global warming. The list can be extended.

Nord Stream 1 in Lubmin: Putin's treacherous weapon.
Nord Stream 1 in Lubmin: Putin’s treacherous weapon. (Source: Hannibal Hanschke/Reuters)

That’s why another thing Habek did on Thursday came to light in response to Putin. Instead of quelling the 40 percent of the gas that Putin mercifully sends through Nord Stream 1 and giving all the clarity – Habek sounded the alarm.

One or the other can be discussed in detail. But the direction is correct. Because using 40 percent of Nord Stream 1 still means Germany will have to save a lot of gas to get through the next two winters. Furthermore: Putin can achieve lower results again at any timeHe even referred to it with alleged „technical problems” that could be imminent.

The only way to wrest power from Putin is to be independent from him — and as quickly as possible. Through savings and through the expansion of renewable energies. Let’s not get distracted. And let’s look at all the other crises more than just a gas pipeline flow meter.

Today’s appointments

What’s next in Italy? After Prime Minister Mario Draghi resigned, President Sergio Mattarella dissolved Parliament. Italian politics is in crisis again.

Foreign Minister Annalena Barbock is visiting Bavaria today on her trip to Germany. Among other things, she talks about NSU terrorism and participates in a town hall debate.

In Mainz meet again Flood Disaster Investigation Committee in the Ahar Valley. Hear different witnesses.

Federal Health Minister Karl Lauterbach continues his trip to the United States. He wants to give a speech at Harvard University and visit the vaccine factory Moderna.

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Uwe Seeler in the 1965/66 season at HSV.
Uwe Seeler in the 1965/66 season at HSV. (Source: Kicker / Metelmann / imago-images-pictures)

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Putin is said to have plans for Kharkiv

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Putin is said to have plans for Kharkiv
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Sources in the Kremlin hint at Putin's possible war strategy in Ukraine. Kharkiv can play a decisive role, also in ending the war.

Moscow – The war in Ukraine has been going on for more than two years. Last weekend, the Ukrainian Armed Forces reported one incident Successful attack on ships and infrastructure of the Russian Black Sea Fleet in Sevastopol. However, Ukraine has recently suffered setbacks on the front. How could the war between the two countries develop?

According to a report issued by Kyiv Post Recent anonymous information from circles close to the Kremlin indicates that Vladimir Putin is considering two possible strategies for continuing the war in Ukraine. From the Independent News Agency Medusa Information gathered from people associated with the Russian government shows that most of Russia's political elite believe Putin will continue the war.

Is Putin preparing for a new major attack against Ukraine?

However, it remains unclear what goals Putin may pursue in the near future. A „faction” within an information source allied with the Kremlin suspects that Putin has identified weaknesses on the front in the wake of Ukraine's recent setbacks, and may be willing to intensify his efforts to achieve a „decisive victory.” This may indicate the capture of the capital, Kiev.

Another faction, also close to Putin's administration, believes the Russian leadership could pursue „more realistic goals.” One such goal may be to seize Ukraine's second-largest city, Kharkiv, in the east of the country.

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Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks during a visit to his campaign headquarters. (Archive photo) © Alexander Zemlyanichenko/DPA

Sources close to the Kremlin confirm Kharkiv's location is militarily important for further military operations

Putin has repeatedly emphasized the strategic importance of Kharkiv for Russian military strategy. It is believed that the so-called sanitary zone around the Belgorod region near the border could be useful in reducing bombing near the border. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov explained Putin's proposal to the state news agency TASS“The President believes that against the backdrop of drone attacks, and against the backdrop of artillery shelling of our lands, security measures are being taken for some settlements on our lands, especially social institutions and residential buildings.”

However, far-right Russian blogger Igor Skurlatov criticized the plan on Telegram: “What about the health zone that Vladimir Putin talked about a few days ago? We all agreed that the borders of this region would better extend along the western borders of Ukraine. but not. Governor Vyacheslav Gladkov decided that they would continue [die russische Regionalhauptstadt] Belgorod will run. An interesting turn of events. We will never win this way!” Skorlatov expressed concern about the „mass evacuation” on the Russian side, and expressed his sincere hope that this was only a „temporary measure.”

Sources close to Putin believe that another major attack is possible, which would require mobilization

Although Putin's statements do not yet give clear indications of possible hostilities in the future, sources close to the Kremlin believe that another major attack on Kharkiv, the country's second largest city, is possible. Such a scenario would require additional mobilization efforts and further Russian military reinforcements.

Since the beginning of the war between Russia and Ukraine Kharkiv region is one of the main theaters of the war. After a large-scale counterattack in 2022, Ukraine was able to reclaim much of the region. However, the city itself remains a target of Russian air strikes.

This article was written by editor Fabian Hartmann. Editor Bidartin Bulukbasi then used the AI ​​language model to optimize at his own discretion. All information has been carefully checked.

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War | Netanyahu: Canceling the American visit was a “message” to Hamas

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War |  Netanyahu: Canceling the American visit was a “message” to Hamas

Relatives of hostages arrested in Tel Aviv. There are serious problems in relations between Israel and its most important ally, the United States of America. More information in the news blog.

The most important things at a glance


Netanyahu: Canceling the visit to the United States was a signal to Hamas

7:39 pm: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu justified canceling the visit of a high-level Israeli delegation to the United States by saying that he wanted to send a message to Hamas.

Netanyahu said, according to what his office said, that according to the recent UN Security Council resolution, the Islamic movement is convinced that international pressure will prevent Israel from releasing the hostages and destroying Hamas in the Gaza Strip. He wanted to tell the Islamists not to rely on this pressure. This won't work. He added: „I hope the message has reached them.”

The Israeli Prime Minister left it open to what extent canceling the delegation’s visit requested by the American government could help ease what Netanyahu described as Hamas’ hard-line position.

Arrest of relatives of hostages in Israel

3:47 pm: On Tuesday, Israeli security forces arrested two relatives of hostages being held in Gaza. In addition, other protesters are said to have been arrested. This was reported by the American CNN network, citing an Israeli activist group.

11 killed in the Israeli attack on Rafah

2:36 PM: According to Palestinian information, the Israeli army bombed at least three homes in Rafah on Wednesday night. The Health Authority in the Gaza Strip said that 11 people belonging to one family were martyred in one of the air strikes.

Hezbollah fires missiles at Israel

8:22 AM: Lebanese Hezbollah announced that it fired dozens of rockets at the border town of Kergit Shmona in northern Israel. This comes in response to the deadly Israeli attacks in southern Lebanon on Tuesday. According to previous reports, three Hezbollah members were killed. Security sources reported that at least seven people were killed in another Israeli attack in southern Lebanon on Wednesday evening.

Police in Jordan take action against demonstrators in front of the Israeli embassy

1:54 AM: At a demonstration in the Jordanian capital, Amman, police beat and arrested dozens of demonstrators, according to reports from residents. More than two thousand demonstrators wanted to advance towards the heavily guarded Israeli embassy in the Al-Rabaa area in Amman. Many demonstrators chanted slogans such as „Hamas, all the people of Jordan are with you.”

Jordanian authorities are concerned that the Israeli bombing of the Gaza Strip may increase the popularity of the terrorist movement Hamas among many Jordanians. They said peaceful protests would be allowed, but they would not tolerate attempts to exploit anger against Israel to cause unrest or attempt to reach border areas with the Israeli-occupied West Bank or Israel.

Security circles: Seven dead in the Israeli attack on southern Lebanon

Gallant stresses the importance of Israeli military superiority in the Middle East

1:26 AM: Israeli Defense Minister Joao Galante told reporters after talks with high-ranking US government officials that the meetings emphasized the importance of US-Israeli relations. He also stressed the importance of maintaining Israel's qualitative military superiority in the region, including its air force. Gallant spoke to reporters on the second day of his visit to the United States, at a time when relations between US President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reached their lowest levels.

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The Kremlin successfully manipulates: ISW: Russia will lose if the West uses resources

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The Kremlin successfully manipulates: ISW: Russia will lose if the West uses resources

The Kremlin manipulates successfully
ISW: Russia will lose if the West uses resources

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Military experts from the Institute for the Study of War clearly count the Western allies in the analysis. It is said that Russia could never win the war if the West „rose up.” But too often people fall for the Kremlin's only winning strategy.

Military experts Natalia Bugayova, Frederick Kagan and Katerina Stepanenko of the US Institute for the Study of War (ISW) believe that Russia is unable to win in Ukraine – provided the West exploits its opportunities. In a recent analysis, the researchers said: “Russia cannot defeat Ukraine or the West — and would likely lose — if the West pooled its resources.”

The GDP of NATO countries, non-NATO members, the European Union, and Asian allies will reach more than 63 trillion US dollars, while Russia's GDP will reach only 1.9 trillion dollars. Former Russian President Medvedev made a similar statement – and given his power, he threatened a nuclear strike in the war with the West. Russia's allies Iran, North Korea and China will do so, according to the newspaper analysis From ISW it contributes „only a little in financial support”. “China supports Russia, but it does not mobilize for Russia.”

“Manipulation is the only strategy to win.”

Institute for the Study of War researchers criticize what they believe are often successful information campaigns from Moscow. The American think tank said: “The most important Russian strategy is to make us see the world the way the Kremlin wants to see it.” This includes the claim that the war could not be won because of Russian dominance. It aims to marginalize the United States so that Russia can fight Ukraine in isolation.

Such an “infiltration” may arise if Donald Trump wins the US presidential elections and ends US support. House Republicans are currently blocking aid totaling about $60 billion. This support is seen as essential for Ukraine's continued defense capability.

According to ISW, manipulations from Moscow sometimes successfully target “the full spectrum of those who make or report decisions,” namely politicians and the media. According to the Institute for the Study of War, even Vladimir Putin's lies that Ukraine's entry into NATO poses a danger to Russia, or that Ukraine is not a real state, or that Russia has the right to do what it wants in certain spheres of influence, were successful.

“Manipulating perceptions is one of the Kremlin’s core capabilities, which is being unleashed with full force on Western public opinion, because this is the only Kremlin strategy that can win in Ukraine. This is not a challenge that most societies can meet.” It will be easier for the United States to overcome these manipulations than for Russia to close the enormous gap between its war aims and its actual capabilities.

ISW: Use of nuclear weapons 'unlikely'

Moscow primarily wants to delay US military aid. For this reason, it reinforces narratives about the dangers of nuclear proliferation – for example, through nuclear blackmail and “other ambiguous threats.” Information campaigns in the fall of 2022 were aimed at delaying the West's supply of tanks and other important capabilities to Ukraine – with ensuing consequences, according to military experts.

“The failure of the United States to proactively support Ukraine’s initiative after two successive, successful counterattacks in the fall of 2022 contributed to Ukraine’s lost opportunity to launch a third counterattack in the winter.” This enabled Russia to build up its defences.

According to the World War II Institute, the West's reluctance to supply Ukraine with longer-range weapons – such as German Taurus missiles – is due to „a Kremlin-fueled fear that Ukraine might use these systems to attack targets in Russia and thus 'provoke the fury' of an unspecified escalation.” In Germany, Chancellor Schulz repeatedly warned against getting involved in the war if the Taurus were delivered.

Scientists believe that it is „unlikely” that Putin would actually use nuclear weapons „solely to respond with Western missiles to Ukrainian strikes in Russia.” He also did not do so during Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory. However, the threat of nuclear escalation will remain at the core of Russian perception manipulation, write Natalia Bugayova, Frederick Kagan, and Katerina Stepanenko.

„The West behaves like a mouse”

According to military experts, failure in Ukraine would be disastrous for the West. “A victorious Russia represents a faster path to war between Russia and NATO than a Ukraine victory. Ultimately, a Russia victory in Ukraine would make a compelling case for the effectiveness of nuclear blackmail.

The Institute for the Study of War believes that the West has an advantage in war, but the West must decide to exploit this advantage. He is „a giant who sometimes acts like a mouse towards Russia. All he has to do is stand up.” Although the Kremlin has not mobilized all its resources, it has mobilized a significant portion of them – and more than the West for Ukraine.

According to the Institute for the Study of War, the occupation of 18% of Ukrainian territory cost Russia “a heavy price.” Putin will continue to mobilize, but Russia's capabilities are neither without limits nor without costs.

Finally, military experts call on the West to provide sufficient immediate military aid to Ukraine, to help Kiev expand the Ukrainian defense industry and to make attacks on military targets in Russia possible.

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